Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

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This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.

FOUR Current Status

Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at

FOUR Land Hazards

India

No land hazards or hazard data not available for this storm.

FOUR Tracker

FOUR Satellite Loop

FOUR Alternate Tracking Map

FOUR Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for FOUR can be found here:

FOUR spaghetti models page »

FOUR Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR Public Advisory

WTIO31 PGTW 202100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (FOUR) WARNING NR 002    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   201800Z --- NEAR 19.2N 85.4E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N 85.4E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   210600Z --- 20.6N 82.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
202100Z POSITION NEAR 19.5N 84.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04B (FOUR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 264 NM 
SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS 
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH LOW 
CONFIDENCE BASED ON ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY 
WHICH DEPICTS FLARING DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH OF A PARTIALLY 
EXPOSED, BUT DIFFICULT TO DISCERN, LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 
INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS HEDGED ABOVE PGTW AND KNES DVORAK 
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T2.0 BASED ON A 201449Z METOP-A ASCAT 
PASS WHICH SHOWED A SMALL AREA OF 35 KNOT WINDS TO THE EAST OF THE 
LLCC. THE ENVIRONMENT IS UNFAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION WITH HIGH 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND LAND INTERACTION 
WITH EASTERN INDIA. TC 04B IS BEING STEERED BY A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE 
TO THE NORTH. TC 04B WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD, MAKE 
LANDFALL, AND DISSIPATE DUE TO LAND INTERACTION WITHIN 12 HOURS. 
MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT, BUT BASED ON UNCERTAINTY IN THE 
INITIAL POSITION, CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK IS MODERATE. 
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN 
PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF 
REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 9 FEET.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE FOUR Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

FOUR storm path from JTWC

Time Speed Location Status
35 knots 19.2, 85.4
30 knots 20.6, 82.8 dissipated


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