Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

Go to the main page to see active storms.

Hurricane Time Machine

This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.

FIFTEEN Current Status

Current Wind Speed 45 knots / 52 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 45 knots / 52 MPH at

FIFTEEN Land Hazards

Vanuatu
American Samoa / Samoa américaines
High Surf Advisory
Small Craft Advisory
Flood Watch
Fiji / Fidji
Solomon Islands / îles Salomon
New Caledonia / Nouvelle-Calédonie

FIFTEEN Tracker

FIFTEEN Satellite Loop

visible satellite loop of TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN from wisc.edu

visible satellite loop of TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN from wisc.edu

FIFTEEN Alternate Tracking Map

FIFTEEN Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for FIFTEEN can be found here:

FIFTEEN spaghetti models page »

FIFTEEN Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN Public Advisory

WTPS33 PGTW 170300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 004
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   170000Z --- NEAR 23.4S 155.0W
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 29 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   SUBTROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 23.4S 155.0W
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   171200Z --- 27.3S 152.1W
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   SUBTROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
170300Z POSITION NEAR 24.4S 154.3W.
17FEB24. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (FIFTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 297 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF RAROTONGA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 29
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) INDICATES THAT 15P HAS COMPLETED SUBTROPICAL TRANSITION
(STT), AS EVIDENCED BY THE VAST MAJORITY OF CONVECTION BEING SHEARED
OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST EXPOSING THE ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION.
ADDITIONALLY, MANUAL AND AUTOMATED PHASE CLASSIFICATION WORKSHEETS
SUPPORT THE FACT THAT THE SYSTEM HAS COMPLETED STT WITHIN THE PAST 12
HOURS. 15P IS FORECASTED TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD DUE TO ITS POSITION
BETWEEN A TROUGH TO THE SOUTH AND A RIDGE TO THE EAST. 15P HAS
INTENSIFIED TO 45 KTS AS SHOWN IN A 161957Z ASCAT IMAGE, BUT WILL
BEGIN TO DEGRADE ONCE IT STARTS TO INTERACT WITH THE STRONG
MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THIS IS
THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL
HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 170000Z IS 994 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 20 FEET.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

FIFTEEN storm path from JTWC

Time Speed Location Status
45 knots -23.4, -155.0
45 knots -27.3, -152.1


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