Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.
FIFTEEN Current Status
Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at
FIFTEEN Land Hazards
FIFTEEN Tracker
FIFTEEN Satellite Loop
FIFTEEN Alternate Tracking Map
FIFTEEN Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for FIFTEEN can be found here:
FIFTEEN spaghetti models page »
FIFTEEN Watches and Warnings
TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN Tropical Cyclone Update
TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN Public Advisory
WTPS31 PGTW 050300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
050000Z --- NEAR 21.3S 174.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
SUBTROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.3S 174.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 21.2S 175.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
SUBTROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
050300Z POSITION NEAR 21.3S 174.5E.
05FEB25. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 15P (FIFTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
310 NM SOUTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 15P HAS TRACKED POLEWARD OF THE
SUBTROPICAL JET UNDER STRONG WESTERLIES, WITH HIGH (40-45 KNOTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A
FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, WITH POORLY ORGANIZED DEEP
CONVECTION SHEARED EAST OF THE CENTER. BASED ON THIS DETAILED
ANALYSIS, THE SYSTEM HAS TRANSITIONED INTO A SUBTROPICAL STORM AND IS
FORECAST TO GRADUALLY STEER EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHEASTWARD
THROUGH TAU 48, WITH POTENTIAL RE-INTENSIFICATION AS A SUBTROPICAL
LOW BY TAU 48. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 050000Z IS 998
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 10 FEET.//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN Forecast Discussion
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
FIFTEEN storm path from JTWC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 knots | -21.3, 174.1 | ||
| 35 knots | -21.2, 175.9 |
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