Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
FAY Current Status
...FAY DEGENERATES INTO A POST-TROPICAL LOW OVER EASTERN NEW YORK... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at
Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite
current US watches/warnings
live tornado/thunderstorm tracker - tornadohq
future radar imagery - my future radar
current radar loop
future radar imagery
(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)
If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.
FAY Land Hazards
NWS Local Hurricane Statements
- No warnings
- RAINFALL - The post-tropical cyclone is expected to produce 1 to 2 inches of rain with isolated maxima of 4 inches along and near its track from eastern New York into portions of New England. This rain may result in flash flooding and urban flooding in areas with poor drainage where the heaviest amounts occur. Widespread river flooding is not expected; however, rapid rises on small streams and isolated minor flooding is possible.
FAY Tracker
FAY Satellite Loop
FAY Alternate Tracking Map
FAY Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for FAY can be found here:
FAY Watches and Warnings
Post-Tropical Cyclone FAY Tropical Cyclone Update
Post-Tropical Cyclone FAY Public Advisory
000 WTNT31 KNHC 110832 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062020 500 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 2020 ...FAY DEGENERATES INTO A POST-TROPICAL LOW OVER EASTERN NEW YORK... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...42.4N 73.9W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM S OF ALBANY NEW YORK MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay was located near latitude 42.4 North, longitude 73.9 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north near 17 mph (28 km/h). A north-northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected today, tonight and Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of the post-tropical cyclone will continue to move across portions of eastern New York this morning, then across northwestern New England later today and over southeastern Canada tonight and Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next day so, and the post-tropical cyclone is likely to dissipate by late Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The post-tropical cyclone is expected to produce 1 to 2 inches of rain with isolated maxima of 4 inches along and near its track from eastern New York into portions of New England. This rain may result in flash flooding and urban flooding in areas with poor drainage where the heaviest amounts occur. Widespread river flooding is not expected; however, rapid rises on small streams and isolated minor flooding is possible. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Post-Tropical Cyclone FAY Forecast Discussion
000 WTNT41 KNHC 110833 TCDAT1 Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062020 500 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 2020 The system has lacked significant organized deep convection for some time now, and therefore it has degenerated into a post-tropical low pressure system. The maximum sustained winds are estimated, perhaps generously, at 30 kt over the Atlantic waters well to the southeast of the center. Continued weakening is likely, and the cyclone should dissipate over eastern Canada by late Sunday. The low is moving just east of due north or around 010/15 kt. Over the next day or so, the system should continue to move between a mid-level ridge over the northwestern Atlantic and a trough near the Great Lakes until it loses its identity. This is the last advisory on this system. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/0900Z 42.4N 73.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 11/1800Z 45.3N 72.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 24H 12/0600Z 49.0N 70.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 36H 12/1800Z 52.5N 67.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 48H 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch
FAY storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 knots | 42.4, -73.9 | translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL | |
| 25 knots | 45.3, -72.9 | translation missing: en.POST-TROP/INLAND | |
| 25 knots | 49.0, -70.5 | translation missing: en.POST-TROP/INLAND | |
| 20 knots | 52.5, -67.0 | translation missing: en.POST-TROP/INLAND | |
| 0 knots | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
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