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DOLORES Current Status

...DOLORES NOW A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at

DOLORES Land Hazards

México
Avisos y Alertas
SITUACIÓN ACTUAL: Zona de baja presión se localiza al sur de las costas de Jalisco y Colima, ahora con 70% de probabilidad para desarrollo ciclónico en 48 horas y 90% en 5 días.
No afecta al país.
Guatemala
Boletín Meteorológico Informativo
Belize
El Salvador
Informes Especiales

DOLORES Tracker

DOLORES Satellite Loop

DOLORES Alternate Tracking Map

DOLORES Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for DOLORES can be found here:

DOLORES spaghetti models page »

DOLORES Watches and Warnings

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DOLORES Tropical Cyclone Update

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DOLORES Public Advisory

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 190232
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
800 PM PDT SAT JUL 18 2015

...DOLORES NOW A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.6N 119.0W
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM WSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Dolores was located near latitude 25.6 North, longitude 119.0 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northwest near
16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue
through Sunday night.  A turn toward the north and a decrease in
forward speed are expected on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast, and the remnant
low is forecast to dissipate by Monday night or Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Dolores continue to affect portions of
the west coast of the Baja California peninsula and are beginning to
reach the coast of southern California.  These swells could cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  For additional
information, please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Dolores. For additional information on the remnant low
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEP1, WMO header FZPN01 KWBC, and
on the web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEP1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DOLORES Forecast Discussion

000
WTPZ45 KNHC 190233
TCDEP5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DOLORES DISCUSSION NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
800 PM PDT SAT JUL 18 2015

Dolores has been without organized deep convection for 12 hours, and
the center is now more than 150 miles away from the remaining
shallow to moderate convection.  Based on the lack of convective
organization, Dolores is now a post-tropical remnant low and this
will be the last NHC advisory.  With even colder waters ahead,
the remnant low should gradually spin down and dissipate in 2 or 3
days offshore of southern California.

The initial motion is 335/14, as the cyclone has accelerated since
the previous advisory.  Dolores should continue moving north-
northwestward around the western periphery of the subtropical ridge
and then turn northward and decelerate prior to dissipation.  The
new NHC track forecast is along but faster than the previous one and
is close to the latest ECMWF and GFS solutions.

Moisture associated with Dolores is spreading over the southwestern
United States and will increase the possibility of heavy rains and
flash flooding during the next few days over portions of Arizona,
southern California, southern Nevada, and southwestern Utah.  Please
refer to statements from your local National Weather Service office
at www.weather.gov for more information.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  19/0300Z 25.6N 119.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  19/1200Z 27.5N 119.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  20/0000Z 30.2N 120.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  20/1200Z 32.1N 120.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  21/0000Z 33.3N 121.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  22/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brennan

DOLORES storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
30 knots 25.6, -119.0 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
25 knots 27.5, -119.6 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
25 knots 30.2, -120.3 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
20 knots 32.1, -120.9 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
20 knots 33.3, -121.0 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
0 knots , translation missing: en.DISSIPATED


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