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( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

Diane Storm Tracker

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Other future tropical cyclones:


Current View of the South Indian Basin

Tropical Outlook

Per current tropical weather outlooks, the highest current potential of a new tropical cyclone in this basin is high.

South Indian Active Storms

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 7


2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
         A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
            (1) AT 23JAN20 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (NINE) WAS LOCATED 
      NEAR 24.7S 71.7E, APPROXIMATELY 845 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, 
      MAURITIUS, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
      HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS 
      GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 231500) FOR THE FINAL 
      WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
            (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
         B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
            (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
      NEAR 17.9S 48.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.2S 50.3E, APPROXIMATELY 260 
      NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED 
      MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 231527Z SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE 
      IMAGE DEPICT FLARING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL 
      CIRCULATION (LLC). A 231713Z METOP-A ASCAT PASS REVEALS A TIGHT LLC 
      WITH 30 KT WIND BARBS NEAR THE CENTER. INVEST 95S IS CURRENTLY IN A 
      FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE (10-20KTS) 
      VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA 
      SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT DEPICTING 
      INVEST 95S INTENSIFYING AND TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM 
      SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
      LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
      DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
      HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B (WTXS21 PGTW 232100) FOR 
      FURTHER DETAILS.
            (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
      NEAR 18.9S 55.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.2S 62.4E, APPROXIMATELY 265 
      NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
      IMAGERY AND A 231144Z SSMI 85GHZ IMAGE SHOW AN AREA OF SHALLOW, 
      DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OFFSET FROM A PARTLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL 
      CIRCULATION. INVEST 97S IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH 
      GOOD EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW, MODERATE (10-20 KNOTS) 
      VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. 
      GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT DEPICTING 97S INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 
      AS IT TRACKS SOUTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
      ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
      TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
      SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
            (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
         C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.


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