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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

Go to the main page to see active storms.

DAMIEN Current Status

Current Wind Speed 85 knots / 98 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 85 knots / 98 MPH at

DAMIEN Land Hazards

Maurice / Mauritius / Rodrigues / Agalega
State of temperature in 2019 | Information on Tropical Disturbance FRANCISCO
La Réunion

DAMIEN Tracker

DAMIEN Satellite Loop

DAMIEN Alternate Tracking Map

DAMIEN Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for DAMIEN can be found here:

DAMIEN spaghetti models page »

DAMIEN Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL CYCLONE DAMIEN Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE DAMIEN Public Advisory

WTXS32 PGTW 081500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (DAMIEN) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (DAMIEN) WARNING NR 011    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   081200Z --- NEAR 21.3S 116.9E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF 
     SATELLITE AND RADAR
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 21.3S 116.9E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   090000Z --- 22.8S 117.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   091200Z --- 23.9S 117.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   100000Z --- 25.0S 118.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
081500Z POSITION NEAR 21.7S 117.0E.
08FEB20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (DAMIEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 
167 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED 
INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY FROM PORT HEDLAND REVEAL 
AN INCREASINGLY RAGGED EYE STRUCTURE SURROUNDED BY SPIRAL BANDING, 
INDICATING A WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM. THEREFORE THE INITIAL 
INTENSITY IS PLACED AT 85 KNOTS. FURTHERMORE, THE PRESENCE OF THE 
EYE STRUCTURE IN EIR AND RADAR LOOPS LENDS HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE 
INITIAL POSITION. TC DAMIEN HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN DUE TO THE 
FRICTIONAL EFFECTS OF LAND INTERACTION, DESPITE CONTINUED ROBUST 
POLEWARD OUTFLOW DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTH. AS THE 
SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK INLAND, HOWEVER, IT WILL BECOME EMBEDDED 
IN THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND BEGIN TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY TAU 24 
AND FULLY DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY TAU 36. NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN 
GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU 36 WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NAVGEM, LENDING 
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. THIS IS THE FINAL 
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. 
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE DAMIEN Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

DAMIEN storm path from JTWC

Time Speed Location Status
85 knots -21.3, 116.9
65 knots -22.8, 117.4
45 knots -23.9, 117.9 dissipating
30 knots -25.0, 118.2 dissipated


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