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Cilida Storm Tracker

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Other future tropical cyclones:


Current View of the South Indian Basin

Tropical Outlook

Per current tropical weather outlooks, the highest current potential of a new tropical cyclone in this basin is low.

South Indian Active Storms

Severe Tropical Cyclone Owen


2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
         A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
         B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
            (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 4.7S 
      93.3E, APPROXIMATELY 782 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF JAKARTA, INDONESIA. 
      ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW A DISORGANIZED LOW 
      LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL 
      ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE (15 TO 25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND 
      SHEAR WITH LIGHT UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND SUPPORTIVE SEA SURFACE 
      TEMPERATURES (28-30 CELSIUS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN OVERALL GOOD 
      AGREEMENT ON A SOUTHWESTWARD TRAJECTORY AS THE SYSTEM GRADUALLY 
      DEVELOPS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOME TRACK UNCERTAINTY EXISTS, WITH 
      SOME MODELS SHOWING 91S REMAINING QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE FIRST 6-
      12 HOURS OF THE MODEL RUN.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
      ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
      TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
      SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
            (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.//
      NNNN


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