Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

Go to the main page to see active storms.

Chris Current Status

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CHRIS RACING TOWARD CAPE RACE AND THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

Current Wind Speed 60 knots / 70 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 60 knots / 70 MPH at

Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite

current US watches/warnings

current radar loop

future radar imagery

(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)

If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.

Chris Land Hazards

NWS Local Hurricane Statements

Chris Tracker

Chris Satellite Loop

Chris Alternate Tracking Map

Chris Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for Chris can be found here:

Chris spaghetti models page »

Chris Watches and Warnings

Post-Tropical Cyclone Chris Tropical Cyclone Update

Post-Tropical Cyclone Chris Public Advisory

922 
WTNT33 KNHC 121509 CCA
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Chris Advisory Number  24...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032018
1100 AM AST Thu Jul 12 2018

Corrected Discussion and Outlook Section

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CHRIS RACING TOWARD CAPE RACE AND THE
AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...44.4N 57.7W
ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM E OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 36 MPH...57 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no tropical cyclone coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Atlantic Canada should monitor the progress of Chris.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Chris was located near latitude 44.4 North, longitude 57.7 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near
36 mph (57 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through
Friday. On the forecast track, Chris is expected to pass over or
near the Avalon Peninsula of southeastern Newfoundland late
afternoon and early evening today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Slight weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
from the center. A Canadian buoy just east of the center recently
reported a sustained wind of 58 mph (94 km/h) and gust to 71 mph
(115 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Even though Chris is moving away from the United States,
swells generated by the storm will affect portions of the coast from
North Carolina northward to New England during the next couple of
days.  Swells will spread northward along the southern coasts of
Nova Scotia and Newfoundland overnight and into Thursday.  These
swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

RAINFALL: Chris is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 millimeters) over Newfoundland, with
possible isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches (150 millimeters).
These rains may cause flash flooding.  Sable Island has received
more than 2.3 inches (60 millimeters) of rainfall during the past
few hours.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available
on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. Other
information on Post-Tropical Cyclone Chris can be found in products
issued by Environment Canada/Canadian Hurricane Centre on the
internet at  weather.gc.ca/hurricane/.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Post-Tropical Cyclone Chris Forecast Discussion

574 
WTNT43 KNHC 121459
TCDAT3
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Chris Discussion Number  24
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032018
1100 AM AST Thu Jul 12 2018
 
Extratropical transition has been ongoing for the past few hours,
with the rain shield continuing to expand and clouds tops warming in
the northwestern semicircle. In addition, surface observations close
to the center now show a sharp temperature gradient of almost 20 deg
F across the center, which is indicative of the cyclone having
merged with a cold frontal system. As a result, Chris has become a
post-tropical/extratropical cyclone. The intensity of 60 kt is based
on continuity with the previous advisory and earlier ASCAT
scatterometer passes. Gradual weakening is forecast by all of the
intensity model guidance, but the cyclone is still expected to
remain a gale area through 72 hours.
 
Chris has made a slight westward jog, but the latest model guidance
insists that the cyclone will start moving back toward the northeast
or 045 degrees at 30-31 kt. Post-tropical cyclone Chris is forecast
to remain embedded within the fast mid-latitude westerly flow on the
east side of a broad, deep-layer trough moving eastward over the
northeastern United States and southeastern Canada for the next 48
hours or so. By 72 hours, the cyclone is expected to slow down and
begin moving northward as it interacts with a larger mid-latitude
upper-level low. The NHC model guidance remains tightly packed, so
only minor adjustments to the previous advisory track were required,
and mainly in just the first 12 hours. On the forecast track, the
center of Chris is expected to pass over or near the Avalon
Peninsula of southeastern Newfoundland around 2100-0000 UTC this
afternoon and evening.
 
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available
on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. Other
information on Post-Tropical Cyclone Chris can be found in products
issued by Environment Canada/Canadian Hurricane Centre on the
internet at weather.gc.ca/hurricane/.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  12/1500Z 44.4N  57.7W   60 KT  70 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  13/0000Z 47.7N  52.8W   55 KT  65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  13/1200Z 50.7N  44.7W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  14/0000Z 53.5N  35.0W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  14/1200Z 56.5N  26.5W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  15/1200Z 61.6N  18.9W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 96H  16/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Stewart

Chris storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
60 knots 44.4, -57.7 translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL
55 knots 47.7, -52.8 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
45 knots 50.7, -44.7 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
40 knots 53.5, -35.0 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
35 knots 56.5, -26.5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
35 knots 61.6, -18.9 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
0 knots , translation missing: en.DISSIPATED


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