Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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CHENGE Current Status

Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at 2025-10-25T18:00:00.000Z

CHENGE Land Hazards

CHENGE Tracker

CHENGE Satellite Loop

CHENGE Alternate Tracking Map

CHENGE Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for CHENGE can be found here:

CHENGE spaghetti models page »

CHENGE Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL CYCLONE CHENGE Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE CHENGE Public Advisory

WTXS31 PGTW 252100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CHENGE) WARNING NR 020//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (CHENGE) WARNING NR 020    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   251800Z --- NEAR 8.1S 49.9E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 8.1S 49.9E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   260600Z --- 7.7S 48.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
252100Z POSITION NEAR 8.0S 49.5E.
25OCT25. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04S (CHENGE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
635 NM EAST OF DAR ES SALAAM, TANZANIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY
REVEALS A SHALLOW AND FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
AS DEEP CONVECTION HAS COMPLETELY COLLAPSED OVER THE LAST 12
HOURS. THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT IS HIGHLY UNFAVORABLE WITH VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR ABOVE 30KTS AND STRAIGHT-LINE FLOW ALOFT. OVER THE NEXT
12 HOURS, THE REMNANTS OF TC 04S WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN IN AN ADVERSE
ENVIRONMENT. DETERMINISTIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS SUPPORTIVE OF THE
TRACK AND IS IN STRONG LINEAR AGREEMENT. THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE
VARIES SLIGHTLY BETWEEN STAGNATION AT 30KTS OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS
OR CONTINUED WEAKENING. EITHER WAY, THE GUIDANCE DOES NOT INDICATE
RE-INTENSIFICATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY
THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE
CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE AT 251800Z IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
251800Z IS 12 FEET.//
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Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE CHENGE Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

CHENGE storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2025-10-25T18:00:00.000Z	30 knots	-8.1, 49.9	dissipated
2025-10-26T06:00:00.000Z	30 knots	-7.7, 48.2	dissipated

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Cyclocane   |   National Hurricane Center   |   Joint Typhoon Warning Center   |   Japan Meteorological Agency

site by Hayley Croft

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