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BLAS Current Status

...BLAS BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at

BLAS Land Hazards

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Boletín Meteorológico Informativo
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Informes Especiales

BLAS Tracker

BLAS Satellite Loop

BLAS Alternate Tracking Map

BLAS Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for BLAS can be found here:

BLAS spaghetti models page »

BLAS Watches and Warnings

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BLAS Tropical Cyclone Update

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BLAS Public Advisory

000
WTPZ33 KNHC 101438
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BLAS ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032016
800 AM PDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...BLAS BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.3N 136.3W
ABOUT 1220 MI...1965 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Blas
was located near latitude 21.3 North, longitude 136.3 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17
km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue during the
next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the remnant low
is expected to dissipate in a few days.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant
low, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and
on the web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BLAS Forecast Discussion

000
WTPZ43 KNHC 101439
TCDEP3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032016
800 AM PDT SUN JUL 10 2016

Deep convection associated with Blas has been absent for more than
12 hours, and significant convection is unlikely to return since the
cyclone is over 24 C waters and embedded in a stable air mass.
Therefore, Blas is now declared a remnant low, and this is the last
advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. The
initial intensity of 30 kt is based on recent scatterometer data.

The remnant low is moving westward at about 9 kt within the
low-level trade wind flow.  A westward to west-southwestward motion
at about the same forward speed is expected during the next couple
of days while the low gradually weakens.  Dissipation is forecast to
occur in 2 to 3 days.

Even though Blas is no longer a tropical cyclone, altimeter data
from a few hours ago still indicated an area of seas higher than 12
ft near the system. For additional information, please see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header
NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN02 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  10/1500Z 21.3N 136.3W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  11/0000Z 21.3N 138.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  11/1200Z 21.1N 140.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  12/0000Z 20.7N 142.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  12/1200Z 20.3N 144.6W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  13/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

BLAS storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
30 knots 21.3, -136.3 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
25 knots 21.3, -138.0 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
25 knots 21.1, -140.2 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
20 knots 20.7, -142.5 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
20 knots 20.3, -144.6 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
0 knots , translation missing: en.DISSIPATED


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