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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at
Spaghetti models for BLAS can be found here:
000 WTPZ32 KNHC 201435 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Blas Advisory Number 26 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022022 900 AM MDT Mon Jun 20 2022 ...BLAS DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.2N 113.6W ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Blas was located near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 113.6 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue until dissipation in a couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and the remnant low is expected to open into a trough on Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
000 WTPZ42 KNHC 201436 TCDEP2 Post-Tropical Cyclone Blas Discussion Number 26 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022022 900 AM MDT Mon Jun 20 2022 Geostationary satellite imagery indicates that Blas has been unable to produce organized deep convection near its center for almost 24 h. Although a couple of sporadic bursts of convection have occurred to its north this morning, this is not deemed enough to maintain its status as a tropical cyclone. Since the system has degenerated into a remnant low, this will be the final NHC advisory on Blas. The initial intensity is set at 30 kt based on a blend of Dvorak current intensity estimates from SAB and TAFB. The remnant low is moving westward at 275/4 kt, and it is forecast to continue moving slowly westward to west-northwestward over the next couple of days. This will bring the system over cooler waters and into a drier mid-level environment with increasing deep-layer southerly shear. Therefore, the remnant low is expected to gradually weaken and open into a trough by Wednesday. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/1500Z 19.2N 113.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 21/0000Z 19.3N 114.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 21/1200Z 19.6N 115.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 22/0000Z 19.8N 116.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 22/1200Z 19.8N 116.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
30 knots | 19.2, -113.6 | translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL | |
25 knots | 19.3, -114.3 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
25 knots | 19.6, -115.2 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
20 knots | 19.8, -116.1 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
20 knots | 19.8, -116.9 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
0 knots | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
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