Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
BLANCA Current Status
...BLANCA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
Current Wind Speed 25 knots / 30 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 25 knots / 30 MPH at
BLANCA Land Hazards
BLANCA Tracker
BLANCA Satellite Loop
BLANCA Alternate Tracking Map
BLANCA Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for BLANCA can be found here:
BLANCA spaghetti models page »
BLANCA Watches and Warnings
Post-Tropical Cyclone BLANCA Tropical Cyclone Update
Post-Tropical Cyclone BLANCA Public Advisory
000 WTPZ32 KNHC 040832 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Blanca Advisory Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022021 200 AM PDT Fri Jun 04 2021 ...BLANCA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.3N 115.6W ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM WSW OF SOCORRO ISLAND ABOUT 585 MI...945 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Blanca was located near latitude 16.3 North, longitude 115.6 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn to the west is expected later this morning, and this motion is expected to continue through the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The remnant low is expected to slowly weaken and dissipate within the next few days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Blanca. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Latto
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Post-Tropical Cyclone BLANCA Forecast Discussion
000 WTPZ42 KNHC 040833 TCDEP2 Post-Tropical Cyclone Blanca Discussion Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022021 200 AM PDT Fri Jun 04 2021 Blanca has been devoid of organized deep convection since midday yesterday, with the last convective burst near the center ceasing over 15 hours ago. Since that time there have been a few convective cells noted 120 to 150 n mi east-northeast of the center, but these have been short lived. This is a big change from this time yesterday, when a large burst of deep convection developed during the diurnal maximum close the center of the cyclone. This trend is indicative of the strong west-southwesterly shear and the dry and stable atmospheric environment taking their toll on the system. These hostile environmental factors are not expected to improve, while the forward path of the cyclone takes it over progressively cooler waters. Therefore, it is anticipated that persistent deep convection will not redevelop near the center of the system, and Blanca is being designated as a remnant low. The low is expected to gradually spin down and is likely to dissipate within the next few days. The overnight ASCAT overpasses did not sample the center of the system, so a blend of the T/CI numbers of 1.0/2.0 from the most recent satellite intensity estimate from TAFB supports maintaining the advisory intensity at 25 kt. Over the past 12 hours Blanca has been moving west-northwestward, or 300/06 kt. A turn to the west is expected later this morning as the shallow system gets caught up in the flow around a low-level ridge to the north. This westward motion should continue until the system dissipates. The latest NHC track forecast is little changed from the previous one and is near the multi-model consensus. This is the last NHC advisory on Blanca. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/0900Z 16.3N 115.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 04/1800Z 16.4N 116.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 05/0600Z 16.4N 118.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 05/1800Z 16.4N 119.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 06/0600Z 16.4N 121.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 06/1800Z 16.4N 122.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto
BLANCA storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 knots | 16.3, -115.6 | translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL | |
| 25 knots | 16.4, -116.8 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 25 knots | 16.4, -118.3 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 20 knots | 16.4, -119.7 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 20 knots | 16.4, -121.1 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 20 knots | 16.4, -122.5 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 0 knots | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
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