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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH at
Spaghetti models for BAVI can be found here:
WTPN31 PGTW 270900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 09W (BAVI) WARNING NR 024// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (BAVI) WARNING NR 024 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 09W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z --- NEAR 41.6N 125.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 41.6N 125.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 45.1N 128.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 46.3N 129.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 270900Z POSITION NEAR 42.5N 126.5E. 27AUG20. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (BAVI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 249 NM NORTH OF INCHON, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND COMPOSITE RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS MADE LANDFALL OVER THE KOREAN PENINSULA. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE REMNANTS OF THE CONVECTION IN THE MSI AND COMPOSITE RADAR LOOPS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM MAINLAND CHINA AND INDICATES THAT A RAPID WEAKENING HAS TAKEN PLACE, LARGELY DUE TO THE HOSTILE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND TERRAIN EFFECTS ASSOCIATED WITH OVER LAND PASSAGE. THE THERMAL STRUCTURE OF THE SYSTEM INDICATES THAT IT IS CURRENTLY UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. TS BAVI WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST AND BECOME FURTHER EMBEDDED IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. AS A RESULT, THE SYSTEM WILL COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY TAU 12. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL NATURE OF THE EXTRATROPICAL LOW WILL REMAIN STRONG, WITH 30 KTS AT TAU 12 ONLY WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TO 25 KTS BY TAU 24. NUMERICAL MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN TIGHT AGREEMENT ON THE NORTHEASTWARD TRAJECTORY WITH AEMN AND AFUM THE SOLE OUTLIERS WHICH BRING THE REMINANTS OF THE CIRCULATION WESTWARD. DESPITE THESE OUTLIERS, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE OVERALL JTWC FORECAST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// NNNN
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
40 knots | 41.6, 125.8 | ||
30 knots | 45.1, 128.5 | ||
25 knots | 46.3, 129.9 |
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