Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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BAVI Current Status

Current Wind Speed 60 knots / 69 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 60 knots / 69 MPH at 2026-07-11T18:00:00.000Z

BAVI Land Hazards

Northwest Pacific Weather Warnings

Taiwan Central Weather Bureau: no warnings
Hong Kong Observatory: no warnings

BAVI Tracker

BAVI Satellite Loop

BAVI Alternate Tracking Map

BAVI Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for BAVI can be found here:

BAVI spaghetti models page »

BAVI Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL STORM BAVI Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL STORM BAVI Public Advisory

WTPN31 PGTW 112100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 09W (BAVI) WARNING NR 044//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (BAVI) WARNING NR 044    
   DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 09W
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   111800Z --- NEAR 28.7N 120.4E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 28.7N 120.4E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   120600Z --- 30.7N 118.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   121800Z --- 32.3N 117.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   130600Z --- 33.6N 117.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   131800Z --- 35.1N 119.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
112100Z POSITION NEAR 29.2N 119.9E.
11JUL26. TROPICAL STORM 09W (BAVI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 415 NM
WEST-NORTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 17
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM MADE LANDFALL
APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SHANGHAI, CHINA AT
APPROXIMATELY 111500Z. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS
A VERY LARGE TROPICAL STORM WITH DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTING
AROUND THE CENTER OF THE VORTEX. ANIMATED RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A
SIMILARLY LARGE REGION OF PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM
AS IT MOVES INLAND. TS BAVI IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 18 HOURS THEN TURN POLEWARD AND 
NORTHEASTWARD AS IT STEADILY DECAYS OVER LAND. 09W IS EXPECTED TO
BE FULLY DISSIPATED BY TAU 48. AFTER TAU 48, THERE IS SOME
UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE ULTIMATE FATE OF THE SYSTEM AS A RESULT OF
ITS TRAJECTORY OVER LAND. SOME NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A
POTENTIAL FOR THE REMNANTS OF 09W TO EMERGE OVER THE YELLOW SEA
WHILE RETAINING SOME TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 
111800Z IS 968 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS XX 
FEET.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL STORM BAVI Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

BAVI storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2026-07-11T18:00:00.000Z	60 knots	28.7, 120.4
2026-07-12T06:00:00.000Z	40 knots	30.7, 118.5
2026-07-12T18:00:00.000Z	30 knots	32.3, 117.7	dissipating
2026-07-13T06:00:00.000Z	25 knots	33.6, 117.9	dissipating
2026-07-13T18:00:00.000Z	20 knots	35.1, 119.1	dissipated

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