Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

Go to the main page to see active storms.

BAVI Current Status

Current Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH at

BAVI Land Hazards

Northwest Pacific Weather Warnings
Taiwan Central Weather Bureau: no warnings
Hong Kong Observatory: no warnings

BAVI Tracker

BAVI Satellite Loop

BAVI Alternate Tracking Map

BAVI Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for BAVI can be found here:

BAVI spaghetti models page »

BAVI Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL STORM BAVI Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL STORM BAVI Public Advisory

WTPN31 PGTW 270900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 09W (BAVI) WARNING NR 024//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (BAVI) WARNING NR 024    
   DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 09W
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   270600Z --- NEAR 41.6N 125.8E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 26 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   REPEAT POSIT: 41.6N 125.8E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   271800Z --- 45.1N 128.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   280600Z --- 46.3N 129.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
    ---
REMARKS:
270900Z POSITION NEAR 42.5N 126.5E.
27AUG20. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (BAVI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 
249 NM NORTH OF INCHON, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND COMPOSITE RADAR 
IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS MADE LANDFALL OVER THE KOREAN
PENINSULA. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE
BASED ON THE REMNANTS OF THE CONVECTION IN THE MSI AND 
COMPOSITE RADAR LOOPS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS PLACED WITH 
FAIR CONFIDENCE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM MAINLAND 
CHINA AND INDICATES THAT A RAPID WEAKENING HAS TAKEN PLACE, 
LARGELY DUE TO THE HOSTILE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND TERRAIN 
EFFECTS ASSOCIATED WITH OVER LAND PASSAGE. THE THERMAL 
STRUCTURE OF THE SYSTEM INDICATES THAT IT IS CURRENTLY 
UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. TS BAVI WILL CONTINUE TO 
TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING RIDGE 
TO THE EAST AND BECOME FURTHER EMBEDDED IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. 
AS A RESULT, THE SYSTEM WILL COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION 
BY TAU 12. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL NATURE OF THE 
EXTRATROPICAL LOW WILL REMAIN STRONG, WITH 30 KTS AT TAU 12 ONLY 
WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TO 25 KTS BY TAU 24. NUMERICAL MODELS 
CONTINUE TO BE IN TIGHT AGREEMENT ON THE NORTHEASTWARD 
TRAJECTORY WITH AEMN AND AFUM THE SOLE OUTLIERS WHICH BRING THE 
REMINANTS OF THE CIRCULATION WESTWARD. DESPITE THESE OUTLIERS, 
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE OVERALL JTWC FORECAST THROUGH 
THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON 
THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE 
SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL STORM BAVI Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

BAVI storm path from JTWC

Time Speed Location Status
40 knots 41.6, 125.8
30 knots 45.1, 128.5
25 knots 46.3, 129.9


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