Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
ARTHUR Current Status
...ARTHUR DEGENERATES TO A LOW PRESSURE AREA ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at
Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite
current US watches/warnings
live tornado/thunderstorm tracker - tornadohq
future radar imagery - my future radar
future radar imagery
(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)
If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.
ARTHUR Land Hazards
NWS Local Hurricane Statements
- No warnings
- RAINFALL - Arthur is expected to produce rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated higher totals near 20 inches, through early Friday from the Mid and Upper Texas coast east-northeast into southern and central portions of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama, along with western portions of Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. This could generate dangerous to life-threatening flash flooding.
- WIND - Winds gusts to tropical-storm force are possible along the Louisiana coast tonight.
- STORM SURGE - Water levels remain elevated along the Upper Texas coast but will continue to subside overnight.
- SURF - Swells generated by Arthur are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the northwestern Gulf Coast for the next day or two. Please consult products from your local weather office.
- TORNADO - A few tornadoes are possible tonight across southeast Louisiana and southern Mississippi, and tomorrow into parts of Alabama, Georgia, and the Florida Panhandle.
ARTHUR Tracker
ARTHUR Satellite Loop
ARTHUR Alternate Tracking Map
ARTHUR Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for ARTHUR can be found here:
ARTHUR spaghetti models page »
ARTHUR Watches and Warnings
Post-Tropical Cyclone ARTHUR Tropical Cyclone Update
Post-Tropical Cyclone ARTHUR Public Advisory
000 WTNT31 KNHC 180248 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Arthur Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012026 1000 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026 ...ARTHUR DEGENERATES TO A LOW PRESSURE AREA ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.7N 94.5W ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM NNE OF GALVESTON TEXAS ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM WSW OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: All coastal watches and warnings are discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: None. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Arthur was located near latitude 29.7 North, longitude 94.5 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h). A northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the east-northeast Thursday through Friday. On the forecast track, the remnants of Arthur should move farther inland over southeastern Texas and western Louisiana tonight, then cross the southeastern United States Thursday through Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. While additional weakening is expected as the system moves inland, the remnants of Arthur will continue to produce widespread heavy rains across the southeastern United States during the next few days. The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for remnants of Arthur can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC. RAINFALL: Arthur is expected to produce rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated higher totals near 20 inches, through early Friday from the Mid and Upper Texas coast east-northeast into southern and central portions of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama, along with western portions of Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. This could generate dangerous to life-threatening flash flooding. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with the remnants of Arthur, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?ero. For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated with Arthur, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS44 KWBC or at the following link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html. WIND: Winds gusts to tropical-storm force are possible along the Louisiana coast tonight. STORM SURGE: Water levels remain elevated along the Upper Texas coast but will continue to subside overnight. SURF: Swells generated by Arthur are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the northwestern Gulf Coast for the next day or two. Please consult products from your local weather office. A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?ripCurrents TORNADO: A few tornadoes are possible tonight across southeast Louisiana and southern Mississippi, and tomorrow into parts of Alabama, Georgia, and the Florida Panhandle. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. $$ Forecaster Beven
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Post-Tropical Cyclone ARTHUR Forecast Discussion
697 WTNT41 KNHC 180249 TCDAT1 Post-Tropical Cyclone Arthur Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012026 1000 PM CDT Wed Jun 17 2026 Surface observations indicated that the center of Arthur re-formed near Galveston around 21-22Z in response to an offshore convective burst. Since that time, there has been no organized convection near the center, and the circulation has become elongated along the Upper Texas coast. Based on these developments, and the expectation that organized convection will not reform near the center, Arthur is no longer a tropical cyclone and is being downgraded to a post-tropical low with 30 kt winds. While the motion is a bit uncertain due to the center reformation, it appears that the system is starting to move a bit faster toward the northeast with the initial motion estimated at 040/8 kt. A general northeastward motion is expected until the surface center dissipates tonight over southeastern Texas or southwestern Louisiana. After that, the remnants of Arthur should move east- northeastward across the southeastern United States and emerge into the Atlantic on Friday. A continued east-northeastward motion out to sea is expected thereafter. As mentioned, the surface center of Arthur is expected to dissipate later tonight. The global models suggest that the surface center could reform near the Atlantic coast on Friday, with some intensification possible as the system moves out to sea. It is unclear at this time whether this re-development will be due to tropical cyclone processes or baroclinic process. However, marine gale warnings are being issued for portions of the western Atlantic in anticipation of this development. Even though Arthur is no longer a tropical cyclone, heavy rainfall and life-threatening flash flooding will continue to be a major hazard for the next few days across the southeastern United States. There is also an increased tornado threat for portions of the southeastern U.S. through Thursday. That is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Rainfall forecasts for the remnants of Arthur in the United States can be found at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml and outlooks of flash flood risks can be found at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php . Marine forecasts, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Potentially life-threatening flash flooding and urban flooding are likely through Friday across southern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, southwestern Georgia, and the Florida Panhandle. Scattered minor river flooding is expected, with the potential for isolated moderate to major river flooding. Ongoing heavy rainfall could prolong the flood threat through the weekend. 2. Wind gusts to tropical-storm force could occur along portions of the Louisiana coast tonight. 3. Coastal flooding along the coasts of Texas and Louisiana should gradually subside later tonight and Thursday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 18/0300Z 29.7N 94.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
ARTHUR storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 knots | 29.7, -94.5 | POST-TROPICAL | |
| 0 knots | DISSIPATED |
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