Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.

7 Current Status

Current Wind Speed 30 knots / MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 55 knots / MPH at

7 Land Hazards

Maurice / Mauritius / Rodrigues / Agalega
Tropical Weather Outlook
La Réunion

7 Tracker

7 Satellite Loop

7 Alternate Tracking Map

7 Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for 7 can be found here:

7 spaghetti models page »

7 Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 7 Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 7 Public Advisory

ZCZC 186
WTIO30 FMEE 170042
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 6/7/20202021
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 7
2.A POSITION 2021/01/17 AT 0000 UTC:
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.6 S / 63.4 E
(TWELVE    DECIMAL SIX   DEGREES SOUTH AND
SIXTY THREE    DECIMAL FOUR   DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: WEST 10 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: 2.0/2.0/D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 998 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 30 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): NIL
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 0 SE: 0 SW: 185 NW: 230
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1005 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM
1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
12H: 2021/01/17 12 UTC: 12.9 S / 61.1 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 100 SE: 185 SW: 280 NW: 165
34 KT NE: 85 SE: 100 SW: 120 NW: 85
24H: 2021/01/18 00 UTC: 13.4 S / 58.3 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 75 SE: 195 SW: 220 NW: 85
34 KT NE: 65 SE: 110 SW: 100 NW: 35
36H: 2021/01/18 12 UTC: 14.1 S / 55.6 E, VENT MAX= 040 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 140 SE: 215 SW: 220 NW: 165
34 KT NE: 95 SE: 120 SW: 100 NW: 130
48H: 2021/01/19 00 UTC: 14.9 S / 53.6 E, VENT MAX= 045 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 150 SE: 205 SW: 195 NW: 175
34 KT NE: 100 SE: 120 SW: 85 NW: 140
60H: 2021/01/19 12 UTC: 15.4 S / 52.0 E, VENT MAX= 050 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 130 SE: 130 SW: 165 NW: 150
34 KT NE: 95 SE: 75 SW: 75 NW: 140
48 KT NE: 55 SE: 35 SW: 45 NW: 35
72H: 2021/01/20 00 UTC: 15.6 S / 50.9 E, VENT MAX= 055 KT, SEVERE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 130 SE: 130 SW: 165 NW: 150
34 KT NE: 95 SE: 75 SW: 75 NW: 140
48 KT NE: 35 SE: 35 SW: 55 NW: 35
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
96H: 2021/01/21 00 UTC: 16.4 S / 46.4 E, VENT MAX= 020 KT, OVERLAND
DEPRESSION
120H: 2021/01/22 00 UTC: 18.9 S / 42.7 E, VENT MAX= 035 KT, MODERATE
TROPICAL STORM
28 KT NE: 150 SE: 155 SW: 140 NW: 55
34 KT NE: 85 SE: 110 SW: 75 NW: 35
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
T=CI=2.0+
IN THE LAST 6 HOURS, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN
QUADRANT DID NOT PERSIST. HOWEVER VIOLENT CONVECTIVE BURSTS STILL
OCCUR IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITH VERY COLD TOPS (-95 C). 2120Z
GMI MICROWAVE DATA DO NOT SHOW ANY IMPROVEMENT OF THE INNER CORE IN
COMPARISON WITH THE 0955Z SWATH. INTENSITY IS THEREFORE MAINTAINED AT
30KT.
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL BE MIXED.
THE LOW LEVELS CONVERGENCE ON THE EQUATORIAL SIDE WILL IMPROVE,
HOWEVER THE EASTERLY SHEAR WILL REMAIN OMNIPRESENT WITH MID
TROPOSPHERE DRY AIR LOCATED IN THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE CIRCULATION.
THE UPPER LEVELS DIVERGENCE REMAINS EXCELLENT IN THE NORTHWEST
QUADRANT. IN THIS CONTEXT, A SLOW INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED IN AGREEMENT WITH MOST NUMERICAL GUIDANCE. THE DEGREE OF
CONFIDENCE IN THIS INTENSITY PREDICTION IS LOW.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN A GENERAL WESTERLY DIRECTION
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID SUBTROPICAL LOW RIDGE WHICH
REMAINS SOUTH OF THE MASCARENES ISLANDS UNTIL MONDAY. AT THE END OF
THIS PERIOD, A TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO NEAR THE SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR,
AND CAUSES A WEAKNESS IN THE ANTICYCLONIC BELT.  THE TRACK THEN TAKES
AN INFLECTION IN A WEST-SOUTHWEST DIRECTION, CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO
LAND ON THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR.
IT IS TOO EARLY TO PINPOINT LOCATION AND INTENSITY AT LANDFALL BUT
THERE IS A RISK OF STRONG WINDS, FLOODS AND STORM SURGE OVER SOME
COASTAL AREAS OF EAST MADAGASCAR MAINLY BETWEEN SAMBAVA TO THE NORTH
AND TAMATAVE TO THE SOUTH. A LANDFALL AT TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY
IS POSSIBLE.=
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 7 Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

7 storm path from meteo france

Time Speed Location Status
30 knots -12.6, 63.4
35 knots -12.9, 61.1 translation missing: en.MODERATE
35 knots -13.4, 58.3 translation missing: en.MODERATE
40 knots -14.1, 55.6 translation missing: en.MODERATE
45 knots -14.9, 53.6 translation missing: en.MODERATE
50 knots -15.4, 52.0 translation missing: en.SEVERE
55 knots -15.6, 50.9 translation missing: en.SEVERE
20 knots -16.4, 46.4 translation missing: en.OVERLAND
35 knots -18.9, 42.7 translation missing: en.MODERATE


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