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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 55 knots / 63 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 55 knots / 63 MPH at
No land hazards or hazard data not available for this storm.
Spaghetti models for YAAS can be found here:
WTIO31 PGTW 260900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B (YAAS) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B (YAAS) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260600Z --- NEAR 21.6N 87.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N 87.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 22.5N 86.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 23.6N 85.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
260900Z POSITION NEAR 21.8N 86.8E.
26MAY21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B (YAAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 98 NM
SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
(MSI) DEPICTS THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE NOW MOVING OVER LAND AND
BEGINNING THE DECAYING PROCESS AS IT TRANSITS OVER THE RUGGED
TERRAIN. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED
ON THE LLCC FEATURE IN THE COMPOSITE WEATHER RADAR FROM PARADIP,
INDIA, AND ANALYSIS OF LOCAL WEATHER OBSERVATIONS. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 55KTS IS BASED ON THE OVERALL ASSESSMENT OF MULTIPLE
AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES BEFORE LANDFALL WITH T3.5/55KTS FROM PGTW,
4.0/65KTS FROM DEMS, T3.8/61KTS BY THE ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
(ADT), ALONG WITH AN OBSERVATION FROM BALASORE, INDIA OF 45KTS.
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES TC 02B RESIDES UNDER WEAKER
POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (30-35KTS),
CONTRIBUTING TO THE RAPID DECAY AS THE STORM DISSIPATING BY TAU 24.
NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH A CROSS-TRACK SPREAD OF
29NM AT TAU 12 DUE TO THE FAR SOLE RIGHT OUTLIER OF AFUM. THE MODEL
SPREAD WIDENS TO 66NM WITH AFUM BY TAU 24 OR 29NM WITHOUT, LENDING
OVERALL HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK THAT IS LAID JUST
TO THE LEFT OF THE MODEL CONSENSUS TO OFFSET AFUM. THIS IS THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOONWRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 knots | 21.6, 87.0 | dissipating | |
| 35 knots | 22.5, 86.2 | dissipating | |
| 30 knots | 23.6, 85.3 | dissipated |
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