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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

Go to the main page to see active storms.

A small percentage of post-tropical cyclones will become tropical again. In that case, this page will be updated again with the latest advisories and warnings.

VICTORIA Current Status

Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at

TROPICAL CYCLONE VICTORIA Land Hazards

Mauritius
(A): THE SEVERE TROPICAL STORM IMELDA HAS GRADUALLY WEAKENED INTO A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM BUT THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT IT MAY REINTENSIFY FOLLOWING ITS MOVEMENT TOWARDS A MORE FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT. AT 10H00, IT WAS CENTERED AT ABOUT 650KM ALMOST TO THE NORTH OF MAURITIUS THAT IS IN LATITUDE 14.1 DEGREES SOUTH AND LONGITUDE 58.9 DEGREES EAST . IT IS MOVING IN A SOUTH-SOUTH-EASTERLY DIRECTION AT ABOUT 10 KM/H WITH A POSSIBILITY OF RECURVATURE TO THE SOUTH LATER. ON SUCH EXPECTED TRAJECTORY AND SPEED, THE POSSIBILITY OF ISSUING A CLASS 1 WARNING FOR MAURITIUS AND RODRIGUES MAY BE ENVISAGED LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. (B) CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH IMELDA WILL INFLUENCE WEATHER OVER THE ISLAND TONIGHT.
Maurice
(A): LA FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE IMELDA S`EST GRADUELLEMENT AFFAIBLIE EN UNE TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE. A 10H00 ELLE ETAIT CENTREE A ENVIRON 650 KM PRESQU`AU NORD DE MAURICE SOIT EN LATITUDE 14.1 DEGRES SUD ET LONGITUDE 58.9 DEGRES EST. ELLE SE DEPLACE DANS UNE DIRECTION DUSUD-SUD-EST A ENVIRON 10 KM/H AVEC LA POSSIBILITE DE S`INCURVER VERS LE SUD PLUS TARD. CONSIDERANT CETTE TRAJECTOIRE PREVUE ET LA VITESSE DE DEPLACEMENT, LA POSSIBILITE D`EMETTRE UN AVERTISSEMENT DE CLASS 1 POUR MAURICE ET RODRIGUES PEUT ETRE ENVISAGER TARD DANS L`APRES-MIDI. (B) DES NUAGES ASSOCIES A IMELDA INFLUENCERONT LE TEMPS SUR L`ILE TARD DANS LA NUIT.
Rodrigues
(A): A 10H00, LA TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE IMELDA ETAIT CENTREE A ENVIRON 770 KM AU NORD-OUEST DE RODRIGUES SOIT EN LATITUDE 14.1 DEGRES SUD ET LONGITUDE 58.9 DEGRES EST. ELLE SE DEPLACE DANS UNE DIRECTION DU SUD-SUD-EST A ENVIRON 10 KM/H. CONSIDERANT CETTE TRAJECTOIRE PREVUE ET AUSSI LA VITESSE DE DEPLACEMENT LA POSSIBILITE D`EMETTRE UN AVERTISSEMENT DE CLASS 1 POUR RODRIGUES PEUT ETRE ENVISAGER PLUS TARD. (B) DES NUAGES VENANT DE L`EST INFLENCENT LE TEMPS .
Agalega
(A) A 0400 HEURES, LA FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE IMELDA ETAIT CENTREE EN LATITUDE 13.5 DEGRES SUD ET LONGITUDE 58.6 DEGRES EST SOIT A ENVIRON 350 KM AU SUD-SUD-EST D`AGALEGA . ELLE SE DEPLACE DANS UNE DIRECTION GENERALE DU SUD-EST A ENVIRON 05 KM/H. (B) DES BANDES NUAGEUSES ASSOCIEES A IMELDA CONTINUENT A INFLUENCER LE TEMPS SUR L`ILE.
La Réunion
IL N'Y A PAS D'ALERTE EN COURS A LA REUNION, ET AUCUNE MENACE CYCLONIQUE N'EST ENVISAGEE POUR LES PROCHAINES 72 HEURES

TROPICAL CYCLONE VICTORIA Tracker

VICTORIA Satellite Loop

TROPICAL CYCLONE VICTORIA Alternate Tracking Map

Alternate tracking maps are only available on NHC tracked storms.

TROPICAL CYCLONE VICTORIA Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for Victoria can be found here:

VICTORIA spaghetti models page »

TROPICAL CYCLONE VICTORIA Watches and Warnings

Watches and Warnings are currently only available for NHC tracked storms.

TROPICAL CYCLONE VICTORIA Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE VICTORIA Public Advisory

WTXS32 PGTW 120300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTORIA) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTORIA) WARNING NR 007    
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   120000Z --- NEAR 23.1S 106.1E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 23.1S 106.1E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   121200Z --- 28.1S 107.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
120300Z POSITION NEAR 24.4S 106.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22S (VICTORIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 445 NM 
WEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 21 
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY SHOWS TC 22S HAS ALMOST FULLY DISSIPATED UNDER THE STEADILY 
INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING 
DEEP-LAYERED TROUGH AND ITS INTERACTION WITH A SUBTROPICAL HIGH OVER 
AUSTRALIA. DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND KNES SUPPORT THE CURRENT 
INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS. AT THE CURRENT RATE OF WEAKENING, TC 22S WILL 
BE FULLY DISSIPATED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. INCREASING VWS AND 
DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN THE MAJOR FACTORS IN 
THE WEAKENING TREND. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE 
JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY 
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT 
AT 120000Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (IMELDA) 
WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE VICTORIA Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

VICTORIA storm path from JTWC

Time Speed Location Status
35 knots -23.1, 106.1 dissipating
25 knots -28.1, 107.4 dissipated

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