Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.
TWENTY-ONE-E Current Status
...DEPRESSION COULD BRIEFLY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY BEFORE WEAKENING ON THURSDAY...
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at
TWENTY-ONE-E Land Hazards
TWENTY-ONE-E Tracker
TWENTY-ONE-E Satellite Loop
TWENTY-ONE-E Alternate Tracking Map
TWENTY-ONE-E Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for TWENTY-ONE-E can be found here:
TWENTY-ONE-E spaghetti models page »
TWENTY-ONE-E Watches and Warnings
Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E Tropical Cyclone Update
Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E Public Advisory
000 WTPZ31 KNHC 180835 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212020 100 AM PST Wed Nov 18 2020 ...DEPRESSION COULD BRIEFLY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY BEFORE WEAKENING ON THURSDAY... SUMMARY OF 100 AM PST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.7N 115.2W ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 AM PST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E was located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 115.2 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today, followed by a turn toward the west by Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible, and the depression could become a tropical storm later today or tonight. Weakening is expected to begin by Thursday, and the system is forecast to become a remnant low in a couple of days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 700 AM PST. $$ Forecaster Latto
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Tropical Depression TWENTY-ONE-E Forecast Discussion
000 WTPZ41 KNHC 180836 TCDEP1 Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212020 100 AM PST Wed Nov 18 2020 The curved band feature that was prominent in earlier satellite images has dissipated, likely due to very dry air surrounding the cyclone. The depression now consists of a small central dense overcast (CDO) that has just recently become established in the past few hours. Earlier ASCAT data indicated that the strongest winds were occurring to the west of the center of the depression, near the curved band that existed at that time, while winds of 20-25 kt were occurring around the center. The nearest sampling by a scatterometer tonight was by the ASCAT-A, which did pass over some of the same area that had the strongest winds earlier, with peak winds now only 20 kt. Assuming the reorganizing of the convection near the center has helped to increased the winds somewhat there, the initial intensity is being held at 30 kt. If the current CDO feature persists this morning, then the depression will likely strengthen to a tropical storm later today. By early Thursday, moderate west-southwesterly shear, cooler oceanic temperatures, and the presence of a very dry and stable air mass should cause the cyclone to begin weakening, and by Thursday night the system is expected to degenerate to a remnant low. The latest NHC intensity forecast is unchanged from the previous one and is in agreement with the various multimodel consensus aids. The initial motion continues to be west-northwestward at 10 kt. The depression is moving to the south of a mid-level ridge, and the cyclone is expected to continue in this general motion through tonight. A turn to the west within the low-level easterly trade wind flow is expected on Thursday as the system loses its deep convection and becomes shallow. The track forecast was nudged a little to the left of the previous advisory track due to a shift in the model guidance in that direction. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 18/0900Z 15.7N 115.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 18/1800Z 16.1N 116.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 19/0600Z 16.5N 118.9W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 19/1800Z 16.7N 120.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 20/0600Z 16.8N 123.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 20/1800Z 16.8N 125.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Latto
TWENTY-ONE-E storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 knots | 15.7, -115.2 | ||
| 35 knots | 16.1, -116.8 | ||
| 35 knots | 16.5, -118.9 | ||
| 30 knots | 16.7, -120.9 | ||
| 25 knots | 16.8, -123.1 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 25 knots | 16.8, -125.2 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 0 knots | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
site by Hayley Croft
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