Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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TITLI Current Status

Current Wind Speed 90 knots / 104 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 90 knots / 104 MPH at 2018-10-11T00:00:00.000Z

TITLI Land Hazards

No land hazards or hazard data not available for this storm.

TITLI Tracker

TITLI Satellite Loop

TITLI Alternate Tracking Map

TITLI Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for TITLI can be found here:

TITLI spaghetti models page »

TITLI Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL CYCLONE TITLI Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE TITLI Public Advisory

WTIO32 PGTW 110300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B (TITLI) WARNING NR 008    
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   110000Z --- NEAR 18.9N 84.5E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N 84.5E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   111200Z --- 19.7N 84.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   120000Z --- 20.5N 84.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   121200Z --- 21.7N 85.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
110300Z POSITION NEAR 19.1N 84.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B (TITLI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 312 NM
SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) 
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION SURROUNDING A DEFINED EYE 
THAT HAS JUST MADE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF INDIA. THE 
INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE EYE 
FEATURE. HOWEVER, TROCHOIDAL MOTION WAS OBSERVED IN THE ANIMATED EIR 
IMAGERY AS THE EYE ROTATED AROUND A CENTRAL AXIS WHILE MOVING TO THE 
WEST-NORTHWEST, AND TC 06B IS CLOSE TO THE EDGE OF THE METEOSAT-8 
AND HIMAWARI SATELLITE VIEWING SWATHS, LEADING TO PARALLAX ERROR AND 
LENDING UNCERTAINTY TO THE EXACT CENTER POSITION. A 102205Z SSMIS 
91GHZ IMAGE SHOWS A MICROWAVE EYE AND SOLID RING OF DEEP CONVECTION 
SURROUNDING THE CENTER JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL. THE INITIAL INTENSITY 
IS HEDGED IN AGREEMENT WITH THE 102045Z DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY 
ESTIMATE OF T5.0 (90 KTS) FROM PGTW AND A 102015Z SATCON ESTIMATE OF 
91 KTS, AND IS UNDER THE 102030Z KNES ESTIMATE OF T6.0 (115 KTS). 
WHILE CONVECTION DEEPENED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND THE EYE 
REORGANIZED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS, TC 06B ALSO BEGAN TO MOVE OVER 
LAND, WHICH IS ERODING THE CONVECTION IN THE MOST RECENT FRAMES OF 
EIR IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN AN AREA WITH LOW (10-15 KT) 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND STILL MAINTAINS AN EXCELLENT POLEWARD 
OUTFLOW CHANNEL. THE CYCLONE JOGGED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PAST 6 
HOURS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE 
EAST. AFTER TAU 12, THE SYSTEM WILL RECURVE NORTHEASTWARD OVER LAND 
AS TC 06B ROUNDS THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE STR. TC 06B WILL WEAKEN 
OVER LAND UNTIL IT DISSIPATES BEYOND TAU 48. THE AVAILABLE NUMERICAL 
GUIDANCE MEMBERS ARE IN TIGHT AGREEMENT, WITH ECMWF SLIGHTLY TO THE 
WEST OF THE OTHER MODELS. THE JTWC FORECAST IS HEDGED SLIGHTLY WEST 
OF THE MULTIMODEL CONSENSUS TOWARDS THE ECMWF SOLUTION. THERE IS 
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. THIS IS THE FINAL 
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. 
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. 
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A (LUBAN) WARNINGS (WTIO31 PGTW) FOR SIX-
HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE TITLI Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

TITLI storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2018-10-11T00:00:00.000Z	90 knots	18.9, 84.5	dissipating
2018-10-11T12:00:00.000Z	70 knots	19.7, 84.1	dissipating
2018-10-12T00:00:00.000Z	45 knots	20.5, 84.4	dissipating
2018-10-12T12:00:00.000Z	30 knots	21.7, 85.6	dissipated

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