Cyclocane

WTPS31 PGTW 190900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 011    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   190600Z --- NEAR 27.7S 167.3W
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 33 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 325 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            195 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            310 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 27.7S 167.3W
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   191800Z --- 32.9S 162.6W
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
190900Z POSITION NEAR 29.0S 166.1W.
19JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 535
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NIUE, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 33 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) CONTINUES TO BECOME 
ELONGATED AND THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME LIMITED. THE INITIAL 
POSITION IS PLACED WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE AND IS BASED ON AN 180608Z 
SSMIS 37 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE, WHICH SHOWS AN ELONGATED LLCC. THE 
INITIAL INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS IS BASED ON THE DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY 
(CI) ESTIMATE OF T3.5 (55 KNOTS) FROM KNES AND THE ADT CI OF T3.5 (55 
KNOTS). TC 08P IS EXPERIENCING FAVORABLE TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR (15 T0 20 KNOTS). TC 08P ALSO HAS AN EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW 
CHANNEL. HOWEVER, SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE MARGINAL (25 TO 26 
DEGREES CELSIUS). TC 08P IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD WHILE POSITIONED ON 
THE SOUTHWESTERN EDGE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). TC 08P IS 
INTERACTING WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND IS QUICKLY TRANSITIONING TO 
AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. THE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WILL BE COMPLETE 
BY TAU 12. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT, 
THEREFORE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. THIS 
IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL 
HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF 
REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 27 FEET.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE TINO Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

TINO storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2020-01-19T06:00:00.000Z	55 knots	-27.7, -167.3
2020-01-19T18:00:00.000Z	50 knots	-32.9, -162.6

Hurricane Forecast | Tropical Storm Risk | Hurricane Spaghetti Models | Cyclone and Hurricane Names

Cyclocane | National Hurricane Center | Joint Typhoon Warning Center | Japan Meteorological Agency

site by Hayley Croft

Want to help support this site?

Tell your friends about Cyclocane
make a donation - totally optional but completely appreciated

Make a monthly donation or a one-time donation to help support ongoing costs with Cyclocane.

Play solitaire and track all of the cyclocane storms at the same time at Hurricane Solitaire.