Cyclocane

WTXS31 PGTW 090900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (TERATAI) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (TERATAI) WARNING NR 006
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   090600Z --- NEAR 14.3S 102.9E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 14.3S 102.9E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   091800Z --- 14.8S 101.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
090900Z POSITION NEAR 14.4S 102.6E.
09DEC21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (TERATAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 284
NM SOUTHWEST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. A SIX-HOUR ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS A WEAKENED CENTRAL CONVECTION THAT HAS BECOME
MORE OFFSET FROM A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE
INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE MSI
LOOP. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 30KTS, EXTRAPOLATED FROM A 090242Z
ASCAT PASS SHOWING MAXIMUM WIND BARBS OF 20KTS WITHIN THE TRAILING
SEMI-CIRCLE, IS HELD HIGHER THAN THE PGTW DVORAK ESTIMATE OF
T1.5/25KTS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE CYCLONE HAS DRIFTED
INTO COOLER (26C) SST AND STRONG (25KT+) RELATIVE VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AS THE UPPER LEVEL WINDS HAVE BECOME CROSS-PHASED WITH THE
STORM MOTION. TC 02S HAS WEAKENED TO BELOW THE JTWC WARNING
THRESHOLD AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO RECOVER. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING
ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE
SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 10 FEET.//
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Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE TERATAI Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

TERATAI storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2021-12-09T06:00:00.000Z	30 knots	-14.3, 102.9	dissipated
2021-12-09T18:00:00.000Z	30 knots	-14.8, 101.6	dissipated

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