Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

English Español Deutsch Français 日本語

TAM Current Status

Current Wind Speed 50 knots / 58 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 55 knots / 63 MPH at 2025-04-16T00:00:00.000Z

TAM Land Hazards

TAM Tracker

TAM Satellite Loop

TAM Alternate Tracking Map

TAM Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for TAM can be found here:

TAM spaghetti models page »

TAM Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL CYCLONE TAM Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE TAM Public Advisory

WTPS31 PGTW 151500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (TAM) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (TAM) WARNING NR 006    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   151200Z --- NEAR 23.1S 171.7E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING SUBTROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 23.1S 171.7E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   160000Z --- 28.6S 171.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   SUBTROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            300 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
151500Z POSITION NEAR 24.5S 171.7E.
15APR25. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30P (TAM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 316 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
SOUTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 
(TC) 30S (TAM), WHILE STEADILY INCREASING IN INTENSITY, IS DOING SO 
UNDER THE AUSPICES OF INCREASING BAROCLINIC FORCING AS IT RAPIDLY 
UNDERGOES SUBTROPICAL TRANSITION (STT). THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING 
SOUTHEASTWARD AT A VERY FAST 23 KNOTS, ALONG THE WESTERN SIDE OF A 
DEEP-LAYER SUBTROPICAL TO THE EAST. OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS, TEH 
SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO TRACK MORE SOUTHWARD, EVENTUALLY TURNING 
SOUTHWESTWARD AS IT UNDERGOES BINARY INTERACTION WITH A RAPIDLY 
DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE AREA CURRENTLY JUST SOUTHWEST OF NEW 
CALEDONIA. TC 30S PRESENTS AN IMPRESSIVE SIGNATURE IN THE ENHANCED 
INFRARED (EIR) IMAGERY, WITH EXTREMELY COLD OVERSHOOTING TOPS 
APPORACHING -90C. HOWEVER, THE VORTEX IS DECOUPLED AND THE LOW-LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS DISPLACED OVER 60NM TO THE NORTHWEST FROM 
THE COLDEST CLOUD TOPS. A LACK OF RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY PRECLUDES A 
HIGH CONFIDENCE ASSESSMENT, THOUGH A 151004Z AMSU-B 89GHZ IMAGE 
PROVIDED ENOUGH EVIDENCE OF THE VORTEX DECOUPLING TO LEND HIGH MEDIUM 
CONFIDENCE TO THE INITIAL POSITION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON 
THE T3.5 FIXES FROM BOTH PGTW AND KNES, WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. THE 
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS 
WHILE UNDERGOING STT. TC 30S WILL PASS SOUTH OF THE 26C ISOTHERM 
WITHIN THE NEXT SIX HOURS OR SO, AND MOVE UNDER THE NOSE OF A 100 KNOT 
SUBTROPICAL JET MAX WHILE DEVELOPING INCREASING BAROCLINICTY. THE 
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE THE STT PROCESS BY TAU 12, CONVERTING 
TO A STORM-FORCE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NORTHWEST OF NEW ZEALAND. THIS IS 
THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL 
HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF 
REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 151200Z IS 986
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 31 FEET.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE TAM Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

TAM storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2025-04-15T12:00:00.000Z	50 knots	-23.1, 171.7
2025-04-16T00:00:00.000Z	55 knots	-28.6, 171.9

---

Hurricane Forecast   |   Tropical Storm Risk   |   Hurricane Spaghetti Models   |   Cyclone and Hurricane Names

---

Cyclocane   |   National Hurricane Center   |   Joint Typhoon Warning Center   |   Japan Meteorological Agency

site by Hayley Croft

Play solitaire and track all of the cyclocane storms at the same time at Hurricane Solitaire.

---

---