( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH at
Spaghetti models for TALIAH can be found here:
TALIAH spaghetti models page »
WTXS33 PGTW 182100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH) WARNING NR 036//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH) WARNING NR 036
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181800Z --- NEAR 31.1S 75.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
SUBTROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.1S 75.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 31.1S 75.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
SUBTROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 30.7S 73.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
SUBTROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
182100Z POSITION NEAR 31.1S 75.8E.
18FEB25. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1181 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS HAS TRACKED
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 01 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 14S HAS BEEN
ASSESSED AS A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE, WITH CHARACTERISTICS OF BOTH
TROPICAL AND EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION DEVOID OF SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION, EXCEPT FOR A SMALL REGION OF FLARING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY
IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT OF THE CIRCULATION. A 181601Z ASCAT-B
PASS REVEALED ELEVATED WINDS UP TO 42 KNOTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION, PROVIDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO BOTH THE
INITIAL POSITION AND INITIAL INTENSITY. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED AND
BECOME QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, AS IT IS SITUATED IN A
WEAK STEERING PATTERN, STUCK BETWEEN RIDGES TO THE EAST AND WEST AND A
PASSING TROF TO THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM WILL TURN WEST AND ACCELERATE
AFTER TAU 12 AS A TRANSIENT LOW- TO MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE RAPID PASSES
BY TO THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WIND DOWN AND WEAKEN
THROUGH THE SHORT FORECAST PERIOD BUT IS LIKELY TO REMAIN ABOVE BASIN
WARNING CRITERIA EVEN AFTER THE END OF THE FORECAST.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 181800Z IS 996
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 20 FEET.//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 knots | -31.1, 75.9 | ||
| 40 knots | -31.1, 75.3 | ||
| 35 knots | -30.7, 73.8 |
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