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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 55 knots / 63 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 55 knots / 63 MPH at
Alternate tracking maps are only available on NHC tracked storms.
Spaghetti models for STAN can be found here:
The Watches and Warnings Map is only availble on NHC tracked storms.
WTXS31 PGTW 302100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (STAN) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (STAN) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 20.1S 119.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.1S 119.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 22.4S 121.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 25.7S 123.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
302100Z POSITION NEAR 20.7S 119.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S (STAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 52 NM EAST-
NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WEAKENING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER WITH WARMING CLOUD-TOPS. RECENT RADAR IMAGERY FROM PORT
HEDLAND, AND OBSERVATIONAL DATA AROUND THE AREA INDICATE THE SYSTEM
CENTER HAS MADE LANDFALL JUST WEST OF PARDOO, AUSTRALIA AROUND 18Z.
THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 55 KNOTS, BASED ON
OBSERVATIONAL DATA SHOWING 40 TO 50 KNOT WIND GUSTS REPORTED AT
BEDOUT ISLAND. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD
UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A DEEP SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE
EAST. TC STAN IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE SOUTHEASTWARD AND WEAKEN
RAPIDLY AS IT BECOMES EMBEDDED WITHIN A DEEP MID-LATITUDE TROUGH.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY TAU 24. DYNAMIC
MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT LEADING TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY
THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 301800Z IS 12 FEET.//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 knots | -20.1, 119.5 | ||
| 40 knots | -22.4, 121.0 | dissipating | |
| 30 knots | -25.7, 123.7 | dissipated |
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