Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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Other future tropical cyclones:


Current View of the South Pacific Basin

Tropical Outlook

Per current tropical weather outlooks, the highest current potential of a new tropical cyclone in this basin is medium.

South Pacific Active Storms

No active storms


2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
         A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
         B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
            (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
      NEAR 10.0S 176.6E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.2S 177.3E, APPROXIMATELY 
      330 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NADI, FIJI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED 
      SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 190938Z MHS METOP-A 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE 
      DEPICT A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH WEAKENED 
      CONVECTION TO THE EAST. A RECENT ASCAT PASS REVEALS AN ASYMMETRIC 
      CIRCULATION WITH 10-15 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING INTO THE LLC WITHIN THE 
      NORTHWEST QUADRANT AND 20-25 KNOT WINDS SIGNIFICANTLY DISPLACED IN 
      THE EAST UNDER THE AFOREMENTIONED CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
      SHOWS LOW TO MODERATE (10-25 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAKENING 
      POLEWARD OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-30 
      CELSIUS) IN THE SURROUNDING WATERS REMAIN SUPPORTIVE. NUMERICAL 
      WEATHER PREDICTION MODELS ARE NO LONGER INTENSIFYING THE SYSTEM AND 
      ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT ON TRACK GUIDANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
      WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
      ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
      SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED 
      TO MEDIUM. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 191230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
            (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.


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