Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
SARAI Current Status
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at
SARAI Land Hazards
SARAI Tracker
SARAI Satellite Loop
SARAI Alternate Tracking Map
SARAI Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for SARAI can be found here:
SARAI Watches and Warnings
TROPICAL CYCLONE SARAI Tropical Cyclone Update
TROPICAL CYCLONE SARAI Public Advisory
WTPS31 PGTW 310900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (SARAI) WARNING NR 021//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (SARAI) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
310600Z --- NEAR 20.3S 174.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 20.3S 174.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 19.8S 172.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 19.2S 169.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
310900Z POSITION NEAR 20.2S 173.8W.
31DEC19. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P (SARAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 259 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF NIUE, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY DECAYED AS THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION HAS BECOME RAGGED AND FULLY EXPOSED AND THE CENTRAL
CONVECTION SHEARED OVER 50NM EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD. THE INITIAL
POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE EIR LOOP. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE HIGH END DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING
FROM T1.5/25KTS TO T2.0/30KTS AND IS CONSISTENT WITH NEARBY SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS, INCLUDING TONGA. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL
BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z IS 11 FEET.//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
TROPICAL CYCLONE SARAI Forecast Discussion
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
SARAI storm path from JTWC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 knots | -20.3, -174.3 | dissipated | |
| 30 knots | -19.8, -172.3 | dissipated | |
| 25 knots | -19.2, -169.9 | dissipated |
site by Hayley Croft
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