( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 50 knots / 58 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 50 knots / 58 MPH at
No land hazards or hazard data not available for this storm.
Spaghetti models for SAGAR can be found here:
WTIO31 PGTW 191500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01A (SAGAR) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
191200Z --- NEAR 10.3N 43.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N 43.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 9.6N 42.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 9.0N 41.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
191500Z POSITION NEAR 10.1N 43.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01A (SAGAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 88 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF DJIBOUTI CITY, DJIBOUTI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING TIGHTLY INTO A WELL-
DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, WHICH SUPPORTS THE CURRENT
POSITION WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY HAS DECREASED
SLIGHTLY TO 50 KNOTS BASED ON A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND WITH WARMING
CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES EVIDENT IN ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY. TC 01A MADE LANDFALL AT APPROXIMATELY 19/0730Z
AND WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD, OVER LAND, THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN AND WILL DISSIPATE
BY TAU 24. OVERALL, CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK REMAINS
HIGH. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 knots | 10.3, 43.7 | ||
| 35 knots | 9.6, 42.7 | dissipating | |
| 25 knots | 9.0, 41.9 | dissipated |
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