Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.
PTC-EIGHT Current Status
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...REFER TO LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE PRODUCTS FOR FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at
Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite
current US watches/warnings
live tornado/thunderstorm tracker - tornadohq
future radar imagery - my future radar
future radar imagery
(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)
If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.
PTC-EIGHT Land Hazards
NWS Local Hurricane Statements
- No warnings
- WIND - Gusty winds are expected to diminish this evening along the coast of North Carolina.
- STORM SURGE - Water levels remain elevated along portions of the southeastern North Carolina coast and will begin to subside after the next high tide cycle. Refer to your local National Weather Service office for additional information.
- RAINFALL - The system will bring an additional 4 to 8 inches of rainfall, with isolated totals of 10 inches, across portions of southeast North Carolina into tonight. Across northern South Carolina and the remainder of North Carolina, 2 to 4 inches of rainfall, with isolated totals near 8 inches, particularly in the North Carolina Blue Ridge, are possible through Tuesday. Over southeast Virginia and the Virginia Blue Ridge, expect 2 to 4 inches of rainfall, with locally higher amounts, tonight through Wednesday. This rainfall brings a risk of flash and urban flooding and minor river flooding.
- TORNADOES - A few tornadoes may occur through this evening across eastern North Carolina.
- SURF - Swells are forecast to affect portions of the coast of the southeastern United States through tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
PTC-EIGHT Tracker
PTC-EIGHT Satellite Loop
PTC-EIGHT Alternate Tracking Map
PTC-EIGHT Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for PTC-EIGHT can be found here:
PTC-EIGHT spaghetti models page »
PTC-EIGHT Watches and Warnings
Potential Tropical Cyclone PTC-EIGHT Tropical Cyclone Update
Potential Tropical Cyclone PTC-EIGHT Public Advisory
000 WTNT33 KNHC 162036 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082024 500 PM EDT Mon Sep 16 2024 ...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...REFER TO LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE PRODUCTS FOR FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.9N 78.8W ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM W OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM NE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: All Tropical Storm Warnings have been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 33.9 North, longitude 78.8 West. The system is moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A northwestward motion is expected during the next day or so, and the low will move inland across the Carolinas tonight and Tuesday. Surface observations indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected during the next day or so, and the low is forecast to dissipate over the Carolinas by early Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent. The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC. WIND: Gusty winds are expected to diminish this evening along the coast of North Carolina. STORM SURGE: Water levels remain elevated along portions of the southeastern North Carolina coast and will begin to subside after the next high tide cycle. Refer to your local National Weather Service office for additional information. RAINFALL: The system will bring an additional 4 to 8 inches of rainfall, with isolated totals of 10 inches, across portions of southeast North Carolina into tonight. Across northern South Carolina and the remainder of North Carolina, 2 to 4 inches of rainfall, with isolated totals near 8 inches, particularly in the North Carolina Blue Ridge, are possible through Tuesday. Over southeast Virginia and the Virginia Blue Ridge, expect 2 to 4 inches of rainfall, with locally higher amounts, tonight through Wednesday. This rainfall brings a risk of flash and urban flooding and minor river flooding. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with this system, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?ero. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes may occur through this evening across eastern North Carolina. SURF: Swells are forecast to affect portions of the coast of the southeastern United States through tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For more information, see products from your local National Weather Service forecast office. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Potential Tropical Cyclone PTC-EIGHT Forecast Discussion
000 WTNT43 KNHC 162037 TCDAT3 Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082024 500 PM EDT Mon Sep 16 2024 Scatterometer data earlier today showed a very elongated surface circulation with frontal features extending from the low, confirming the non-tropical structure of the system. In fact, current observations show a significant temperature and dewpoint gradient remains along the boundary. Based on radar data and surface observations, the poorly-defined low center is likely near the coast or just inland over northeastern South Carolina. Although it failed to develop a well-defined center and the necessary organization to become a tropical cyclone, the low has produced significant impacts today, with life-threatening flash flooding reported in portions of southeastern North Carolina and wind gusts in excess of 60 mph along the coast. Another band of heavy rainfall is currently moving onshore over the Cape Fear region, with heavy rains also spreading farther inland. Recent surface observations show the sustained winds have diminished below tropical storm force, and the initial intensity is lowered to 30 kt. The system is moving north-northwestward at about 6 kt. This motion will bring the system farther inland over the Carolinas tonight and Tuesday, where it is expected to quickly weaken and dissipate. Although the wind threat has subsided, heavy rainfall and flash flooding remain a serious concern for portions of the Carolinas. For more information on this system, see products issued by the Weather Prediction Center and your local National Weather Service office. Since the system is no longer producing sustained tropical-storm-force winds, the Tropical Storm Warnings for the Carolinas have been discontinued. Therefore, this will be the final NHC advisory on the system. Key Messages: 1. Additional considerable flash and urban flooding and minor river flooding is possible across southern North Carolina and northeast South Carolina through tonight. There is also a risk of isolated flash and urban flooding for the southern Mid-Atlantic region and southern Appalachians through Wednesday. 2. Gusty winds will continue along portions of the coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina into this evening. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/2100Z 33.9N 78.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE 12H 17/0600Z 34.4N 79.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 17/1800Z 34.9N 80.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Reinhart
PTC-EIGHT storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 knots | 33.9, -78.8 | translation missing: en.POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE | |
| 25 knots | 34.4, -79.6 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 20 knots | 34.9, -80.9 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 0 knots | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
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