Cyclocane

WTPS31 PGTW 080300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (PENNY) WARNING NR 033    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   080000Z --- NEAR 19.2S 150.7E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S 150.7E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   081200Z --- 19.5S 149.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
080300Z POSITION NEAR 19.3S 150.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (PENNY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 312 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
(MSI) SHOWS A SMALL, RAGGED, WEAK, AND FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH THE SHALLOW CENTRAL CONVECTION SHEARED MORE
THAN 100 NM SOUTHWESTWARD OF THE LLC. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED
WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE MSI LOOP. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
BASED ON THE HIGH END OF AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM T1.5 TO
T2.0 AND REFLECTS THE SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED STATE OF THE SYSTEM. THE
SYSTEM IS NOW IN AN AREA OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (GREATER THAN
30 KNOTS) AND SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE
WEST WHICH WILL BE THE MAIN CAUSE OF ITS FURTHER DETERIORATION AS IT
CONTINUES TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE AUSTRALIAN COAST. TC 08P
HAS DISSIPATED AND NOW BELOW THE JTWC WARNING THRESHOLD. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR
HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 12 FEET.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE PENNY Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

PENNY storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2019-01-08T00:00:00.000Z	30 knots	-19.2, 150.7	dissipated
2019-01-08T12:00:00.000Z	30 knots	-19.5, 149.4	dissipated

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