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PAUL Current Status

Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at 2024-04-12T00:00:00.000Z

PAUL Land Hazards

PAUL Tracker

PAUL Satellite Loop

PAUL Alternate Tracking Map

PAUL Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for PAUL can be found here:

PAUL spaghetti models page »

PAUL Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL CYCLONE PAUL Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE PAUL Public Advisory

WTPS31 PGTW 120300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (PAUL) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (PAUL) WARNING NR 006
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   120000Z --- NEAR 15.3S 156.7E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S 156.7E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   121200Z --- 15.0S 155.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   130000Z --- 14.4S 154.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
120300Z POSITION NEAR 15.2S 156.5E.
12APR24. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (PAUL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 636 NM
EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY DETERIORATED AND UNRAVELED WITH THE
DISORGANIZED CENTRAL CONVECTION SEVERELY COLLAPSED AND SHEARED
EASTWARD OF AN OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL POSITION
IS PLACED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF TWO WEAK AND FRAGMENTED FEEDER
BANDS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON OVERALL ASSESSMENT OF AGENCY
AND AUTOMATED DVORAK ESTIMATES. ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS
UNDER STRONG (30KTS+) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IS FORECAST TO QUICKLY
FALL BELOW WARNING THRESHOLD, LIKELY SOONER, AS IT ATTEMPTS TO RECURVE
WESTWARD UNDER INCREASING VWS AND OVER COLD DRY AIR ADVECTION. THIS
IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL
HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 120000Z IS 1001 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 12 FEET.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE PAUL Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

PAUL storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2024-04-12T00:00:00.000Z	35 knots	-15.3, 156.7	dissipating
2024-04-12T12:00:00.000Z	30 knots	-15.0, 155.9	dissipated
2024-04-13T00:00:00.000Z	25 knots	-14.4, 154.6	dissipated

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