( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
English Español Deutsch Français 日本語
This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 65 knots / 75 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 65 knots / 75 MPH at
No land hazards or hazard data not available for this storm.
Spaghetti models for NISARGA can be found here:
NISARGA spaghetti models page »
WTIO31 PGTW 031500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A (NISARGA) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A (NISARGA) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
031200Z --- NEAR 19.1N 73.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N 73.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 21.0N 75.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 22.7N 78.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
031500Z POSITION NEAR 19.6N 74.2E.
03JUN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A (NISARGA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
48 NM EAST OF MUMBAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 14
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 02A MADE LANDFALL AT ABOUT
03/0800Z AT A PEAK INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS. SINCE THIS TIME, ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES GRADUAL WEAKENING AS
THE SYSTEM TRACKS INLAND. RADAR IMAGERY AND A 031041Z SSMI 85GHZ
IMAGE, HOWEVER, DEPICT A RAGGED EYE FEATURE WITH TIGHTLY-CURVED
BANDING, WHICH SUPPORTS THE INITIAL POSITION WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE.
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 65 KNOTS BASED ON THE
CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. TC 02A IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY TAU 24
AS IT TRACKS OVER THE WESTERN GHATS AND THE DECCAN PLATEAU.
NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT, THEREFORE,
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL
HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION.//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 knots | 19.1, 73.7 | ||
| 45 knots | 21.0, 75.8 | dissipating | |
| 30 knots | 22.7, 78.2 | dissipated |
site by Hayley Croft
Make a monthly donation or a one-time donation to help support ongoing costs with Cyclocane.
Play solitaire and track all of the cyclocane storms at the same time at Hurricane Solitaire.