Cyclocane

(cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker)

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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

Go to the main page to see active storms.

NATHAN Current Status

Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at

NATHAN Land Hazards

Maurice / Mauritius / Rodrigues / Agalega
World Meteorological Day 23 March 2015 : Climate Knowledge for Climate Action
La Réunion
Alizé modéré de secteur Est.

NATHAN Tracker

NATHAN Satellite Loop

NATHAN Alternate Tracking Map

Alternate tracking maps are only available on NHC tracked storms.

NATHAN Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for NATHAN can be found here:

NATHAN spaghetti models page »

NATHAN Watches and Warnings

The Watches and Warnings Map is only availble on NHC tracked storms.

TROPICAL CYCLONE NATHAN Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE NATHAN Public Advisory

WTXS31 PGTW 240900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 028//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (NATHAN) WARNING NR 028    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   240600Z --- NEAR 12.5S 132.4E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF 
     SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   REPEAT POSIT: 12.5S 132.4E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   241800Z --- 12.7S 131.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
240900Z POSITION NEAR 12.5S 132.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18P (NATHAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 88 NM EAST
OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 18P HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK INLAND OVER 
THE PAST 12 HOURS WHILE RAPIDLY WEAKENING. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED, BROADENING LOW-LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED 
SOUTHEASTWARD. RADAR IMAGERY FROM THE DARWIN RADAR PROVIDES FURTHER 
EVIDENCE OF THE WEAKENED CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE WITH BROAD, FRAGMENTED 
BANDING WRAPPING INTO A WEAKLY-DEFINED CENTER. MULTIPLE SURFACE 
OBSERVATIONS IN THE REGION INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
(ADJUSTED TO 1-MINUTE AVERAGE) OF ONLY 15 TO 25 KNOTS. ADDITIONALLY, 
THE MOST RECENT DARWIN SOUNDING SHOWS SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR THROUGH 
THE COLUMN WHILE THE LATEST TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER LOOP INDICATES 
DRY AIR ADVECTING ALONG THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM. THE 
SYSTEM IS ALSO LOCATED UNDER NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, 
WHICH IS FORECAST TO PERSIST FOR 2 TO 3 DAYS. THERFORE, THE SYSTEM 
IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGH AT LEAST TAU 48 WITH SOME 
POTENTIAL FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT AFTER TAU 60 TO 72 AS THE ENVIRONMENTAL 
CONDITIONS IMPROVE. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE 
JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY 
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE NATHAN Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

NATHAN storm path from JTWC

Time Speed Location Status
30 knots -12.5, 132.4 dissipated
25 knots -12.7, 131.1 dissipated


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