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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at
Spaghetti models for NAMTHEUN can be found here:
NAMTHEUN spaghetti models page »
WTPN32 PGTW 171500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 23W (NAMTHEUN) WARNING NR 031//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 23W (NAMTHEUN) WARNING NR 031
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171200Z --- NEAR 36.1N 167.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 36.1N 167.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 39.3N 169.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 42.5N 174.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
171500Z POSITION NEAR 36.9N 167.6E.
17OCT21. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 23W (NAMTHEUN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
984 NM NORTHEAST OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ALTHOUGH DEEP CONVECTION IS SPARSE,
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS STRONG MID-
LEVEL TURNING ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH POSITIONED OVER
THE PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. A 171017Z METOP-B MHS
89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS SHALLOW BANDING WRAPPING INTO A
DEFINED CENTER WITH EXTENSIVE DRY AIR SURROUNDING THE SYSTEM AND
ENTRAINING INTO THE SOUTH QUADRANT. A 171020Z ASCAT-B BULLSEYE IMAGE
SHOWS AN ASYMMETRIC WIND FIELD SURROUNDING A DEFINED CENTER WITH 30-
35 KNOT WINDS OVER THE EAST AND NORTH QUADRANTS. THE INITIAL
POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON THE ASCAT IMAGE WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE. BASED ON THE AFOREMENTIONED IMAGERY, TS 23W HAS
MAINTAINED SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS BUT IS ALSO INTERACTING WITH
THE BAROCLINIC ZONE JUST TO THE NORTH WITH COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS
ADVECTING OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. THUS, EXTRA-TROPICAL
TRANSITION HAS COMMENCED AND IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE WITHIN THE NEXT
12 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM ACCELERATES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO
NORTHEASTWARD. TS 23W WILL GAIN FRONTAL CHARACTERISTICS AND APPROACH
THE MIDLATITUDE JET BY TAU 12. OVERALL, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
THE JTWC TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON
THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 17 FEET.//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 knots | 36.1, 167.1 | ||
| 35 knots | 39.3, 169.0 | ||
| 30 knots | 42.5, 174.7 |
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