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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Go to the main page to see active storms.
A small percentage of post-tropical cyclones will become tropical again. In that case, this page will be updated again with the latest advisories and warnings.
Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at
Alternate tracking maps are only available on NHC tracked storms.
Spaghetti models for Mitchell can be found here:
MITCHELL spaghetti models page »
Watches and Warnings are currently only available for NHC tracked storms.
WTXS31 PGTW 300900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (MITCHELL) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (MITCHELL) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300600Z --- NEAR 22.6S 110.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 185 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 22.6S 110.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 25.1S 109.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
300900Z POSITION NEAR 23.2S 109.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S (MITCHELL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM
WEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI)
INDICATES THAT TC 06S HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY WITH LIMITED
SHALLOW CONVECTION AND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS NOW
BECOME FULLY EXPOSED. A 300457Z TRMM 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE CONCURS
WITH THE MSI AND ADDITIONALLY SHOWS SOME DRY CONTINENTAL AIR BEING
PULLED INTO THE SYSTEM, WHICH WILL FURTHER WEAKEN TC 06S. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED UPON FALLING DVORAK INTENSITY
ESTIMATES AND THE OVERALL WEAKENING TREND SEEN IN IMAGERY. THERE IS
GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION BASED ON THE TRMM IMAGE AND
THE MSI LOOP. TC 06S IS TRACKING SOUTHWARD TO SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD
ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, WHICH IS
ENTRENCHED OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA. TC 06S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND SHOULD DISSIPATE BELOW WARNING
THRESHOLD BY TAU 12 AS IT TRACKS OVER COOL SST (LESS THAN 24C) AND
ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING
ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE
SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 15 FEET.//
NNNN
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location |
|---|---|---|
| 35 knots | -22.6, 110.0 | |
| 30 knots | -25.1, 109.2 |
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