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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Go to the main page to see active storms.
A small percentage of post-tropical cyclones will become tropical again. In that case, this page will be updated again with the latest advisories and warnings.
Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at
Alternate tracking maps are only available on NHC tracked storms.
Spaghetti models for Mitchell can be found here:
MITCHELL spaghetti models page »
Watches and Warnings are currently only available for NHC tracked storms.
WTXS31 PGTW 300900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (MITCHELL) WARNING NR 007// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (MITCHELL) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z --- NEAR 22.6S 110.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 185 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.6S 110.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 25.1S 109.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300900Z POSITION NEAR 23.2S 109.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S (MITCHELL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM WEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) INDICATES THAT TC 06S HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY WITH LIMITED SHALLOW CONVECTION AND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS NOW BECOME FULLY EXPOSED. A 300457Z TRMM 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE CONCURS WITH THE MSI AND ADDITIONALLY SHOWS SOME DRY CONTINENTAL AIR BEING PULLED INTO THE SYSTEM, WHICH WILL FURTHER WEAKEN TC 06S. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED UPON FALLING DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES AND THE OVERALL WEAKENING TREND SEEN IN IMAGERY. THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION BASED ON THE TRMM IMAGE AND THE MSI LOOP. TC 06S IS TRACKING SOUTHWARD TO SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, WHICH IS ENTRENCHED OVER WESTERN AUSTRALIA. TC 06S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND SHOULD DISSIPATE BELOW WARNING THRESHOLD BY TAU 12 AS IT TRACKS OVER COOL SST (LESS THAN 24C) AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 15 FEET.// NNNN
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
Time | Speed | Location |
---|---|---|
35 knots | -22.6, 110.0 | |
30 knots | -25.1, 109.2 |
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