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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 85 knots / 98 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 85 knots / 98 MPH at
No land hazards or hazard data not available for this storm.
Spaghetti models for MEKUNU can be found here:
MEKUNU spaghetti models page »
WTIO31 PGTW 260300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A (MEKUNU) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 17.1N 53.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N 53.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 17.9N 53.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 18.5N 52.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
260300Z POSITION NEAR 17.3N 53.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A (MEKUNU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 41 NM WEST
OF SALALAH, OMAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS RAPIDLY WARMING CLOUD TOPS AS 02A WEAKENS, BUT THE SYSTEM
IS REMAINING ORGANIZED WITH BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER AT
PRESENT. THE POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE WHICH IS STILL VISIBLE
IN SOME FRAMES, AS WELL AS THE CENTER OF ROTATION IN THE SALALAH
RADAR LOOP. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 85 KNOTS, AS 02A
BEGINS TO WEAKEN FROM LAND INTERACTION. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM
SALALAH REPORT 52 KT SUSTAINED WINDS 40 MILES FROM THE SYSTEM
CENTER. TC 02A HAS MADE LANDFALL AND WILL CONTINUE TRACKING INLAND
TO THE NORTHWEST AS A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BUILDS TO THE NORTH. THE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY OVER THE DRY, MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN, AND WILL DISSIPATE BEYOND TAU 24. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE
REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ABOUT THE NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND
EVENTUAL WESTWARD TURN OF THE REMNANTS AFTER DISSIPATION,
THEREFORE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 knots | 17.1, 53.4 | ||
| 60 knots | 17.9, 53.0 | dissipating | |
| 40 knots | 18.5, 52.5 | dissipating |
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