Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
MARGOT Current Status
...MARGOT NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...
Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at
Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite
current US watches/warnings
live tornado/thunderstorm tracker - tornadohq
future radar imagery - my future radar
future radar imagery
(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)
If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.
MARGOT Land Hazards
NWS Local Hurricane Statements
- No warnings
- SURF - Swells generated by Margot will continue to affect the Azores for the next several days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
MARGOT Tracker
MARGOT Satellite Loop
MARGOT Alternate Tracking Map
MARGOT Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for MARGOT can be found here:
MARGOT spaghetti models page »
MARGOT Watches and Warnings
Post-Tropical Cyclone MARGOT Tropical Cyclone Update
Post-Tropical Cyclone MARGOT Public Advisory
000 WTNT34 KNHC 171436 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Margot Advisory Number 41 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142023 300 PM GMT Sun Sep 17 2023 ...MARGOT NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.6N 42.4W ABOUT 885 MI...1430 KM W OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Margot was located near latitude 34.6 North, longitude 42.4 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A clockwise turn resulting in a motion toward the east is expected over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Small fluctuations in intensity are expected during the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Margot will continue to affect the Azores for the next several days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Post-Tropical Cyclone MARGOT Forecast Discussion
785 WTNT44 KNHC 171437 TCDAT4 Post-Tropical Cyclone Margot Discussion Number 41 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142023 300 PM GMT Sun Sep 17 2023 Margot has lacked organized deep convection since around 00 UTC and is no longer a tropical cyclone. Therefore, this is the last NHC advisory. The latest Dvorak current intensity estimate from TAFB is the basis for the 35 kt initial intensity. Regeneration in the short term is not expected due to high wind shear and dry surrounding air. With no deep convection, the cyclone's winds should gradually decrease over the next day or so. The post-tropical cyclone is forecast to turn slowly northward today and tonight, and then turn eastward by Tuesday in the wake of Post-Tropical Lee, which will be passing well to the north. While Margot's maximum winds could fluctuate slightly during this time, it could also open into a trough as early as Tuesday. After that, the cyclone or its remnants should meander west of the Azores for a day or two until it ultimately dissipates southeast of Nigel late this week. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 17/1500Z 34.6N 42.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 18/0000Z 35.3N 43.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 18/1200Z 36.8N 43.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 19/0000Z 38.2N 41.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 19/1200Z 38.4N 37.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 60H 20/0000Z 37.7N 34.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 20/1200Z 37.2N 33.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky
MARGOT storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 knots | 34.6, -42.4 | translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL | |
| 30 knots | 35.3, -43.3 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 30 knots | 36.8, -43.1 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 30 knots | 38.2, -41.0 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 35 knots | 38.4, -37.5 | translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL | |
| 30 knots | 37.7, -34.9 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 30 knots | 37.2, -33.1 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 0 knots | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
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