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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 40 knots / 46 MPH at
Spaghetti models for LAN can be found here:
WTPN31 PGTW 170300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 07W (LAN) WARNING NR 038//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (LAN) WARNING NR 038
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
170000Z --- NEAR 44.0N 138.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 44.0N 138.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 46.4N 142.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 48.0N 147.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
170300Z POSITION NEAR 44.6N 139.6E.
17AUG23. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (LAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 243 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 162120Z SSMIS 91 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED OVER THE NORTHWEST
PERIPHERY DUE TO STRONG (30 KNOTS) SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
TS 07W IS TRACKING UNDER STRONG MIDLATITUDE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND
OVER COOL SST (22 CELSIUS) WHILE UNDERGOING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION
(ETT). THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN GRADUALLY AS IT TRACKS
NORTHEASTWARD TO EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH TAU 24 WITH DECREASING
SST (15 TO 16 DEGREES CELSIUS BY TAU 24), INCREASING VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR, AND SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR. TS 07W WILL COMPLETE ETT BY TAU 24
NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF SAKHALIN ISLAND. OVERALL, THERE IS HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR
HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 170000Z IS 985 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 22 FEET.//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 knots | 44.0, 138.7 | ||
| 35 knots | 46.4, 142.3 | ||
| 30 knots | 48.0, 147.4 |
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