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KYARR Current Status

Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at 2019-12-01T18:00:00.000Z

KYARR Land Hazards

No land hazards or hazard data not available for this storm.

KYARR Tracker

KYARR Satellite Loop

KYARR Alternate Tracking Map

KYARR Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for KYARR can be found here:

KYARR spaghetti models page »

KYARR Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL CYCLONE KYARR Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE KYARR Public Advisory

WTIO31 PGTW 312100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A (KYARR) WARNING NR 029//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A (KYARR) WARNING NR 029    
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   311800Z --- NEAR 17.2N 59.7E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N 59.7E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   010600Z --- 16.0N 58.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   011800Z --- 14.6N 57.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
312100Z POSITION NEAR 16.9N 59.4E.
31OCT19. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04A (KYARR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1026 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DJIBOUTI (CITY), HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. A PARTIALLY EXPOSED, ILL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS EVIDENT IN ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS IS CONSISTENT WITH A 311620Z METOP-A ASCAT PASS SHOWING A SMALL PATCH OF 25-30 KNOT BARBS EMBEDDED IN THE ONLY REMAINING CONVECTION 100NM SOUTHWEST OF THE LLCC. THE POSITION IS PLACED WITH OVERALL GOOD CONFIDENCE. THE ENVIRONMENT, WITH WEAK OUTFLOW, WARM (27-28 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST), AND LOW (5-10 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) IS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE. ADDITIONALLY, THERE IS DRY AIR ENTRAINING IN FROM THE WEST, WHICH IS GRADUALLY DISSIPATING TC 04A. FOR THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST, TC 04A WILL TRACK ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE WEST. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 05A (MAHA) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
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Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE KYARR Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

KYARR storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2019-12-01T18:00:00.000Z	30 knots	17.2, 59.7	dissipating
2019-11-01T06:00:00.000Z	30 knots	16.0, 58.6	dissipating
2019-11-01T18:00:00.000Z	30 knots	14.6, 57.2	dissipated

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