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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 60 knots / 69 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 60 knots / 69 MPH at
Spaghetti models for KEVIN can be found here:
WTPS32 PGTW 051500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (KEVIN) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (KEVIN) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z --- NEAR 27.2S 174.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING SUBTROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.2S 174.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 29.3S 168.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
SUBTROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
051500Z POSITION NEAR 27.7S 173.1W.
05MAR23. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (KEVIN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 672
NM SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI)
SHOWS THE SYSTEM IS ERODING RAPIDLY AS THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS
BECOMING DECOUPLED SOUTHEASTWARD AND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULaTION IS
NOW PARTIALLY EXPOSED. CONTINUOUS DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT FROM THE WEST
CAUSED SIGNIFICANT EROSION ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERIES. EXAMINATION
OF THE HWRF VERTICAL CROSS MODEL DISPLAY REVEALS TC 16P (KEVIN) IS
QUITE TILTED AND THE MID-LEVELS ARE NOW VOID OF ALL MOISTURE. ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE CYCLONE HAS TRANSITIONED INTO A SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z
IS 30 FEET.//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 knots | -27.2, -174.5 | ||
| 45 knots | -29.3, -168.8 |
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