Cyclocane

WTXS31 PGTW 110900 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARIM) WARNING NR 009A CORRECTED//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARIM) WARNING NR 009A CORRECTED
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   110600Z --- NEAR 19.1S 95.1E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 19.1S 95.1E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   111800Z --- 18.4S 96.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   120600Z --- 16.8S 97.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   121800Z --- 15.0S 98.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
110900Z POSITION NEAR 18.9S 95.5E.
11MAY22. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1083
NM WEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A RAPIDLY DECAYING SYSTEM OVER
THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION (LLC) HAS BECOME FULLY EXPOSED AS IT MOVED INTO AN
STRONG 30+ KTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
BAROCLINIC ZONE AND THE OUTER REGION OF THE JET STREAM TO THE
SOUTH. TC 25S IS QUICKLY CONVERTING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM
AS IT MOVES OVER MUCH COOLER (24-25C) WATERS, WHICH HAS
KILLED ALL OF THE CONVECTION THAT WAS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
LLC. THE UPPER LEVEL PORTION OF TC 25S HAS DETACHED COMPLETELY
FROM THE LLC AS NOTICED ON THE MSI LOOP, ALONG WITH COLD-AIR
STRATOCUMULUS LINES WRAPPING INTO THE LLC. PGTW LATEST FIX FOR
THIS SYSTEM WAS AT A T1.0/25KTS, WHILE ADT INDICATES T2.7/41KTS.
THE LLC IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST THEN TURN NORTH,
AND DISSIPATE QUICKLY OVER THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN BEFORE REACHING
THE COCOS ISLANDS BY TAU 36. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FORSIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600ZIS 18 FEET.//
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: SYSTEM BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE KARIM Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

KARIM storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2022-05-11T06:00:00.000Z	45 knots	-19.1, 95.1
2022-05-11T18:00:00.000Z	40 knots	-18.4, 96.8
2022-05-12T06:00:00.000Z	35 knots	-16.8, 97.8	dissipating
2022-05-12T18:00:00.000Z	30 knots	-15.0, 98.0	dissipated

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