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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 55 knots / 63 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 55 knots / 63 MPH at
Spaghetti models for HOLA can be found here:
WTPS32 PGTW 110300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (HOLA) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z --- NEAR 28.7S 173.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 215 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 28.7S 173.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 31.8S 174.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 330 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 110300Z POSITION NEAR 29.5S 173.7E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (HOLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 288 NM EAST OF KINGSTON IS., HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE INITIAL POSITION. THE INTENSITY ASSESSMENT OF 55 KNOTS IS BASED ON A PGTW CURRENT INTENSITY DVORAK ESTIMATE OF T3.5 (55 KNOTS) AND A 102205 METOP-B ASCAT IMAGE SHOWING A REGION OF 50- 55 KNOTS WITH AN LLCC BECOMING INCREASINGLY ASYMMETRIC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AFFECTING THE SYSTEM DUE TO A DEVELOPING SHORTWAVE TROUGH JUST TO THE WEST. SSTS IN THE REGION ARE NEAR 25 CELSIUS AND DECREASING RAPIDLY AS IT CONTINUES ITS POLEWARD TRACK ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE OF A DEEP-LAYERED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST. TC 12S IS QUICKLY TRANSITIONING INTO A COLD CORE EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM AND WILL COMPLETE ETT IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 28 FEET.// NNNN
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
55 knots | -28.7, 173.4 | ||
45 knots | -31.8, 174.6 |
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