Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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GARANCE Current Status

Current Wind Speed 45 knots / 52 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 45 knots / 52 MPH at 2025-03-02T06:00:00.000Z

GARANCE Land Hazards

GARANCE Tracker

GARANCE Satellite Loop

GARANCE Alternate Tracking Map

GARANCE Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for GARANCE can be found here:

GARANCE spaghetti models page »

GARANCE Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL CYCLONE GARANCE Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE GARANCE Public Advisory

WTXS32 PGTW 020900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (GARANCE) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (GARANCE) WARNING NR 011    
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   020600Z --- NEAR 33.5S 59.0E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 22 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 33.5S 59.0E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   021800Z --- 34.8S 62.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
020900Z POSITION NEAR 33.8S 59.9E.
02MAR25. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (GARANCE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
805 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ST DENIS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT
22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY
(MSI) REVEALS A HIGHLY ELONGATED CORE OF THE SYSTEM, WITH CENTRAL
CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE SOUTHEAST, EXPOSING THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS
ENTERED THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND IS CAPTURED IN THE 500MB HEIGHT
FIELD, WHILE TRANSITING OVER COOL 24-25C WATERS. THE VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR IS ANALYZED AT 35+ KTS. TC 22S IS UNDERGOING EXTRA-TROPICAL
TRANSITION AND IS EXPECTED TO TRANSFORM INTO A STRONG GALE-FORCE
COLD CORE LOW WITH AN EXPANDING WIND FIELD BY TAU 12. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL
HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 020600Z IS 993 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (HONDE) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR
TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE GARANCE Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

GARANCE storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2025-03-02T06:00:00.000Z	45 knots	-33.5, 59.0
2025-03-02T18:00:00.000Z	45 knots	-34.8, 62.7

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