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This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.

FIVE-E Current Status

...DEPRESSION NEARING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...

Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 80 knots / 90 MPH at

FIVE-E Land Hazards

México
Avisos y Alertas
Guatemala
Boletín Meteorológico Informativo
Belize
El Salvador
Informes Especiales

FIVE-E Tracker

FIVE-E Satellite Loop

visible satellite loop of Tropical Depression FIVE-E from wisc.edu

visible satellite loop of Tropical Depression FIVE-E from wisc.edu

FIVE-E Alternate Tracking Map

FIVE-E Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for FIVE-E can be found here:

FIVE-E spaghetti models page »

FIVE-E Watches and Warnings

Tropical Depression FIVE-E Tropical Cyclone Update

Tropical Depression FIVE-E Public Advisory

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 170531
TCPEP5
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Five-E Intermediate Advisory Number 2A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052025
1200 AM CST Tue Jun 17 2025
 
...DEPRESSION NEARING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH... 
 
SUMMARY OF 1200 AM CST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.6N 93.0W
ABOUT 495 MI...800 KM SE OF PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Bahia De Huatulco to Punta Maldonado
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Salina Cruz to Bahia De Huatulco
 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
Interests elsewhere in southern Mexico should monitor the progress
of this system.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1200 AM CST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Five-E
was located near latitude 11.6 North, longitude 93.0 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph. A slower
west-northwest to northwest motion is expected during the next few
days. On the forecast track, the system is expected to approach the
coast of southern Mexico by late Wednesday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Strengthening is forecast, and the system is expected to become a 
tropical storm later this morning and a hurricane on Wednesday.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Depression Five-E can be found in
the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header
MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC.
 
RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Five-E may produce rainfall totals of
2 to 4 inches, with maximum totals of 6 inches, across coastal
sections of El Salvador, Guatemala and the Mexican states of
Chiapas, Tabasco and Veracruz.  Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches,
with maximum totals of 12 inches, are possible across the Mexican
states of Oaxaca and Guerrero. This rainfall may produce life
threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep
terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Tropical Depression Five-E, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf
 
WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area
by Wednesday night. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the
tropical storm watch area by late Wednesday.
 
STORM SURGE: Storm surge could produce coastal flooding near where
the center crosses the coast in areas of onshore winds. The surge
will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by the system are expected to begin
affecting the coast of southern Mexico in a day or so.  These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST.
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch/Gibbs

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Tropical Depression FIVE-E Forecast Discussion

000
WTPZ45 KNHC 170242
TCDEP5
 
Tropical Depression Five-E Discussion Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052025
900 PM CST Mon Jun 16 2025
 
Geostationary satellite and microwave images indicate that the
system has developed a well-defined circulation, and deep convection
has been consolidating near and north of the center. Therefore, the
system now meets the criteria of a tropical depression. The initial
intensity remains 30 kt based on the latest Dvorak estimates from
TAFB and SAB.
 
The depression is moving west-northwestward at 10 kt. A slower
west-northwestward to northwestward motion is expected during the
next few days as the ridge currently steering the system weakens.
Although the models are in fair agreement, the complexity of the
track moving parallel to the coast of southern Mexico means that
small changes in the system's heading will cause notable differences
on where and when the most significant wind impacts will occur.
The NHC track forecast lies near the middle of the guidance
envelope and is generally similar to the previous one. Users are
reminded that the average 60-hour NHC track error is a little more
than 60 n mi.
 
The environmental conditions are nearly ideal for intensification
with the vertical wind shear expected to be less than 10 kt,
mid-level humidities near or above 80 percent, and SSTs over 29
C for the next 2 or 3 days. Nearly all of the models show the
system strengthening significantly, and given the conducive
conditions, rapid intensification is a possibility. The NHC
intensity forecast lies near the consensus models and shows the
cyclone becoming a tropical storm by early Tuesday and a hurricane
before it reaches Mexico.
 
Based on this forecast, a Hurricane Watch has been issued for
portions of southern Mexico. Watches will likely be extended
westward on Tuesday.
 
 
KEY MESSAGES:
 
1. The depression is expected to become a tropical storm by early
Tuesday and quickly strengthen into a hurricane by Wednesday as it
approaches southern Mexico. A Hurricane Watch has been issued for
portions of southern Mexico.
 
2. The depression will likely produce heavy rainfall across
portions of Central America and southern Mexico through this week.
Life-threatening flooding and mudslides are possible, especially in
areas of steep terrain.
 
3. Storm surge could produce coastal flooding near where the center
crosses the coast.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  17/0300Z 11.2N  92.6W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  17/1200Z 11.8N  93.3W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  18/0000Z 12.5N  94.2W   45 KT  50 MPH
 36H  18/1200Z 13.3N  95.2W   55 KT  65 MPH
 48H  19/0000Z 14.2N  96.3W   70 KT  80 MPH
 60H  19/1200Z 15.5N  97.4W   80 KT  90 MPH
 72H  20/0000Z 16.6N  98.7W   50 KT  60 MPH...INLAND
 96H  21/0000Z 18.3N 101.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
120H  22/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

FIVE-E storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
30 knots 11.6, -93.0
35 knots 11.8, -93.3
45 knots 12.5, -94.2
55 knots 13.3, -95.2
70 knots 14.2, -96.3
80 knots 15.5, -97.4
50 knots 16.6, -98.7 translation missing: en.INLAND
20 knots 18.3, -101.3 translation missing: en.POST-TROP/INLAND
0 knots translation missing: en.DISSIPATED


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