(cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker)
English Español Deutsch Français
This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at
Alternate tracking maps are only available on NHC tracked storms.
Spaghetti models for FANTALA can be found here:
FANTALA spaghetti models page »
The Watches and Warnings Map is only availble on NHC tracked storms.
WTXS31 PGTW 240900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FANTALA) WARNING NR 026//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FANTALA) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240600Z --- NEAR 10.5S 52.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5S 52.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 9.5S 51.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
240900Z POSITION NEAR 10.2S 52.5E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FANTALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 630 NM NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED,
WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE, ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING A FULLY-
EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS
CONSISTENT WITH RECENT SUBJECTIVE DVORAK AND AUTOMATED SATELLITE
INTENSITY CONSENSUS ESTIMATES AND WIND SPEEDS DEPICTED IN A 240619Z
ASCAT PASS. TC 19S CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS IT PASSES, FOR A
SECOND TIME, OVER A POOL OF COOL OCEAN WATER UPWELLED BY THE CYCLONE
ALONG ITS PREVIOUS PATH. CONTINUED PASSAGE OVER COOL WATER AND
PERSISTENT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL PREVENT TC 19S FROM
REINTENSIFYING, AND DISSIPATION BELOW THE WARNING THRESHOLD
INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS IMMINENT. THEREFORE, THIS IS THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z IS 15 FEET.//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 knots | -10.5, 52.9 | dissipating | |
| 30 knots | -9.5, 51.4 | dissipated |
Make a monthly donation or a one-time donation to help support ongoing costs with Cyclocane.
Play solitaire and track all of the cyclocane storms at the same time at Hurricane Solitaire.