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Current View of the North Indian Basin

Tropical Outlook

Per current tropical weather outlooks, the highest current potential of a new tropical cyclone in this basin is high.

North Indian Active Storms

No active storms


1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
         A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
         B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
            (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
      NEAR 2.8N 90.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.0N 89.3E, APPROXIMATELY 610 
      NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF COLOMBO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
      IMAGERY AND A 260323Z MHS 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT PERSISTENT, 
      FRAGMENTED BANDING SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING INTO A BROAD CENTER. 
      HOWEVER, A 260324Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS 25-30 KNOT WINDS OVER THE SOUTH 
      QUADRANT AND 20-25 KNOT WINDS ELSEWHERE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS 
      91B BORDERING AN AREA OF MODERATE TO HIGH (15 TO 25 KNOTS) VERTICAL 
      WIND SHEAR WITH GOOD POLEWARD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. SEA SURFACE 
      TEMPERATURES (30-31C) SUPPORT FUTURE DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE 
      IN GOOD AGREEMENT, MAINTAINING A NORTHWESTWARD TRAJECTORY OVER THE 
      NEXT 24-36 HOURS WITH SLOW DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
      WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
      ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
      SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO 
      HIGH. SEE REF C (WTIO21 PGTW 260900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. 
            (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.


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