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Current View of the North Indian Basin

Tropical Outlook

Per current tropical weather outlooks, the highest current potential of a new tropical cyclone in this basin is medium.

North Indian Active Storms

No active storms


1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
         A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
         B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
            (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
      NEAR 5.5N 90.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.0N 89.5E, APPROXIMATELY 580 
      NM EAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
      IMAGERY SHOWS A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 
      (LLCC) WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS 
      INDICATES MODERATE (15-25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, OFFSET BY GOOD 
      POLEWARD OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-30 CELSIUS) IN THE 
      SURROUNDING AREA REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODEL 
      GENERALLY AGREE ON A NORTHWEST TRAJECTORY, BUT VARY ON THE TIMING 
      AND INTENSITY. MODELS INDICATE THE DISTURBANCE REACHING TROPICAL 
      STRENGTH WITH IN THE NEXT 30-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
      WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
      ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
      SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
            (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.


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