( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at
Spaghetti models for ESTELLE can be found here:
ESTELLE spaghetti models page »
000 WTPZ31 KNHC 212036 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Estelle Advisory Number 26 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062022 200 PM PDT Thu Jul 21 2022 ...ESTELLE BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.3N 126.5W ABOUT 1060 MI...1705 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Estelle was located near latitude 22.3 North, longitude 126.5 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h) and a westward to slightly north of westward motion is expected to continue until dissipation this weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Estelle is expected to weaken further and dissipate by this weekend. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Pasch/Bucci
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
000 WTPZ41 KNHC 212038 TCDEP1 Post-Tropical Cyclone Estelle Discussion Number 26 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062022 200 PM PDT Thu Jul 21 2022 Estelle has not produced a significant amount of deep convection for the past 12 hours or so. Therefore the system no longer qualifies as a tropical cyclone and this will be the last advisory. The remnant low of Estelle should continue to gradually spin down and degenerate into a trough by this weekend. This is consistent with the forecasts from global models. Visible satellite imagery shows that the low-level center is a little farther south of the previous track forecast. The updated prediction reflects this slight southward shift. The post-tropical cyclone should move westward or a little north of westward in the low-level winds for the next couple of days. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/2100Z 22.3N 126.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 22/0600Z 22.6N 127.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 22/1800Z 22.9N 129.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 23/0600Z 23.1N 130.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 23/1800Z 23.3N 132.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch/Bucci
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
30 knots | 22.3, -126.5 | translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL | |
25 knots | 22.6, -127.7 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
25 knots | 22.9, -129.3 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
20 knots | 23.1, -130.7 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
20 knots | 23.3, -132.0 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
0 knots | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
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