Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

Go to the main page to see active storms.

Hurricane Time Machine

EMILY Current Status

...EMILY IS NOW A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON EMILY...

Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at

Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite

current US watches/warnings

map of current weather alerts in the United States

current radar loop

NWS weather radar loop of the coastal areas

If you're looking for other US radar loops, check out Radar Monster.

future radar imagery

future radar image of the Atlantic Ocean basin showing future possible storms and future locations of current storms

(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)

If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.

EMILY Land Hazards

NWS Local Hurricane Statements
San Diego CA EP092023 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
Los Angeles/Oxnard CA EP092023 **ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN CANCELED, BUT FLOODING RAIN THREAT REMAINS INTO MONDAY**
San Diego CA EP092023 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
Los Angeles/Oxnard CA EP092023 **ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN CANCELED, BUT FLOODING RAIN THREAT REMAINS INTO MONDAY**

EMILY Tracker

EMILY Satellite Loop

visible satellite loop of Post-Tropical Cyclone EMILY from wisc.edu

EMILY Alternate Tracking Map

EMILY Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for EMILY can be found here:

EMILY spaghetti models page »

EMILY Watches and Warnings

National Hurricane Center image showing current coastal watches and warnings and future EMILY predicted path

Post-Tropical Cyclone EMILY Tropical Cyclone Update

Post-Tropical Cyclone EMILY Public Advisory

000
WTNT32 KNHC 211430
TCPAT2
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Emily Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072023
1100 AM AST Mon Aug 21 2023
 
...EMILY IS NOW A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON EMILY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.1N 41.9W
ABOUT 1225 MI...1965 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Emily
was located near latitude 21.1 North, longitude 41.9 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph
(15 km/h) and this general motion is forecast to continue today.
Emily could turn more toward the north-northwest or north by
mid-week.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow weakening is expected during the next couple of days.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane 
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be 
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, 
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at 
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
 
$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Post-Tropical Cyclone EMILY Forecast Discussion

842 
WTNT42 KNHC 211430
TCDAT2
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Emily Discussion Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072023
1100 AM AST Mon Aug 21 2023
 
Emily has been devoid of deep convection for nearly 15 hours and no 
longer meets the definition of a tropical cyclone. Although sea 
surface temperatures are sufficiently warm to support occasional 
bursts of convection, strong wind shear and a very dry environment 
should prevent it from re-organizing as a tropical cyclone for at 
least the next couple days. The initial intensity of 30 kt is based 
on ASCAT-B data valid at 1200 UTC.
 
In about 3 days, the remnant low is forecast to turn northward as it 
encounters a deep-layer trough over the central Atlantic. While it 
turns, Emily could briefly encounter a more favorable upper-level 
wind pattern, which could support the redevelopment of convection. 
However, the low-level center may also become stretched and 
ill-defined at the same time. Regeneration as a tropical cyclone 
does not appear likely enough to explicitly forecast it at this 
time. Information on the potential for regeneration will be included 
in future Tropical Weather Outlooks, if necessary. Future 
information on Emily can also be found in High Seas forecasts issued 
by the National Hurricane Center and Ocean Prediction Center.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  21/1500Z 21.1N  41.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  22/0000Z 21.6N  43.4W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  22/1200Z 22.5N  45.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  23/0000Z 23.6N  47.4W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  23/1200Z 25.2N  48.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  24/0000Z 27.1N  49.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  24/1200Z 29.5N  49.7W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  25/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky

EMILY storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
30 knots 21.1, -41.9 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
30 knots 21.6, -43.4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
30 knots 22.5, -45.5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
30 knots 23.6, -47.4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
30 knots 25.2, -48.8 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
30 knots 27.1, -49.5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
30 knots 29.5, -49.7 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
0 knots translation missing: en.DISSIPATED


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