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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

Go to the main page to see active storms.

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EMILIA Current Status

...EMILIA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY...

Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at

EMILIA Land Hazards

México
Avisos y Alertas
Guatemala
Boletín Meteorológico Informativo
Belize
El Salvador
Informes Especiales

EMILIA Tracker

EMILIA Satellite Loop

visible satellite loop of Post-Tropical Cyclone EMILIA from wisc.edu

visible satellite loop of Post-Tropical Cyclone EMILIA from wisc.edu

EMILIA Alternate Tracking Map

EMILIA Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for EMILIA can be found here:

EMILIA spaghetti models page »

EMILIA Watches and Warnings

Post-Tropical Cyclone EMILIA Tropical Cyclone Update

Post-Tropical Cyclone EMILIA Public Advisory

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 090241
TCPEP5
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Emilia Advisory Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052024
800 PM PDT Thu Aug 08 2024
 
...EMILIA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 125.3W
ABOUT 980 MI...1580 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Emilia 
was located near latitude 22.3 North, longitude 125.3 West. The 
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 
mph (19 km/h) and this general motion with a decrease in forward 
speed and turn westward is expected over the next couple of days.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Additional weakening is forecast, and the post-tropical remnant low 
is expected to dissipate by the end of this weekend.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane 
Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low 
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and 
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

 
$$
Forecaster Papin

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Post-Tropical Cyclone EMILIA Forecast Discussion

344 
WTPZ45 KNHC 090244
TCDEP5
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Emilia Discussion Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052024
800 PM PDT Thu Aug 08 2024
 
Emilia has failed to produce much in the way of organized convection 
since the prior burst waned earlier this morning, aside from a small 
patch of -50 C cloud tops currently south of the estimated center. 
SAB Dvorak classifications have been too weak to classify since this 
afternoon, while the TAFB Final-T number is down to 2.0/30-kt which 
was constrained from going lower. While there might continue to be 
some occasional puffs of convection with Emilia over the next day or 
so, the cyclone has crossed the 24 C isotherm and heading towards 
even cooler ocean waters, and the chance of a more significant 
convective resurgence is low. Thus, Emilia is being declared a 30-kt 
post-tropical remnant low this cycle, and this will be the last NHC 
advisory.
 
The system continues to move generally west-northwestward at 290/10 
kt. This motion should continue for the next several days followed 
by a turn more westward beyond 36 h as the low continues to weaken 
and becomes more steered by the low-level trade wind flow. The NHC 
track forecast is largely an update of the previous forecast, in 
good agreement with the multi-model consensus aids. The latest 
forecast now shows the remnant low dissipating after 72 h, a bit 
faster than before.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  09/0300Z 22.3N 125.3W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  09/1200Z 22.9N 127.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  10/0000Z 23.5N 129.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  10/1200Z 24.1N 131.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  11/0000Z 24.6N 132.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  11/1200Z 24.8N 134.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  12/0000Z 24.7N 136.6W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  13/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Papin

EMILIA storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
30 knots 22.3, -125.3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
30 knots 22.9, -127.0 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
25 knots 23.5, -129.0 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
25 knots 24.1, -131.0 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
20 knots 24.6, -132.7 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
20 knots 24.8, -134.5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
20 knots 24.7, -136.6 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
0 knots translation missing: en.DISSIPATED


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