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ELEANOR Current Status

Current Wind Speed 35 knots / MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / MPH at 2024-02-23T18:00:00.000Z

ELEANOR Land Hazards

ELEANOR Tracker

ELEANOR Satellite Loop

ELEANOR Alternate Tracking Map

ELEANOR Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for ELEANOR can be found here:

ELEANOR spaghetti models page »

ELEANOR Watches and Warnings

MODERATE TROPICAL STORM ELEANOR Tropical Cyclone Update

MODERATE TROPICAL STORM ELEANOR Public Advisory

ZCZC 784
WTIO30 FMEE 231830
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER: 21/7/20232024
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 7 (ELEANOR)
2.A POSITION 2024/02/23 AT 1800 UTC:
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.9 S / 58.2 E
(TWENTY THREE    DECIMAL NINE   DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY EIGHT    DECIMAL TWO   DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 3 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: NIL
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 996 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 35 KT
RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): NIL
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
28 KT NE: 85 SE: 545 SW: 350 NW: 205
34 KT NE: 0 SE: 0 SW: 205 NW: 0
48 KT NE: 0 SE: 0 SW: 0 NW: 0
64 KT NE: 0 SE: 0 SW: 0 NW: 0
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1009 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW
1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
12H: 2024/02/24 06 UTC: 23.7 S / 56.8 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT, FILLING UP
28 KT NE: 0 SE: 230 SW: 195 NW: 85
24H: 2024/02/24 18 UTC: 23.0 S / 55.1 E, VENT MAX= 030 KT, FILLING UP
28 KT NE: 0 SE: 250 SW: 155 NW: 0
36H: 2024/02/25 06 UTC: 22.2 S / 52.9 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT, REMNANT
LOW
48H: 2024/02/25 18 UTC: 21.3 S / 50.6 E, VENT MAX= 025 KT,
DISSIPATING
60H: 2024/02/26 06 UTC: 20.7 S / 49.4 E, VENT MAX= 020 KT,
DISSIPATING
72H: 2024/02/26 18 UTC: 20.4 S / 48.6 E, VENT MAX= 020 KT,
DISSIPATING
2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
NIL
2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
T=CI=NIL
VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE FATE OF ELEANOR OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS.
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS NOT ONLY WEAK BUT ALSO CONFINED TO THE
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT, QUITE FAR FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER, SO THAT THE
DVORAK ESTIMATE IN THIS CONTEXT IS NO LONGER RELEVANT. IN TERMS OF
MOVEMENT, THE METEOR APPEARS TO BE MOVING WESTWARDS, BASED ON THE
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGES. ELEANOR CONTINUES TO ENDURE ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS THAT ARE DETRIMENTAL TO ITS INTEGRITY, DUE TO ITS
INTERACTION WITH A MID-TROPOSPHERE TROUGH LOCATED FURTHER WEST. THE
RESULT IS A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR OF AROUND 18KT FROM THE
WEST-NORTH-WEST, ACCORDING TO THE LATEST CIMSS DATA, WHICH NOT ONLY
CONVEYS A LOT OF DRY AIR OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD CENTER, BUT ALSO
TILTS THE STRUCTURE OF THE SYSTEM VERTICALLY. GIVEN THESE OBJECTIVE
CONDITIONS, RECENT MODEL ANALYSES, AND OBJECTIVE AMERICAN ANALYSIS
ESTIMATES, ELEANOR IS TEMPORARILY KEPT AT THE MODERATE TROPICAL STORM
STAGE FOR 35 KT, AS GALE FORCE WINDS ARE STILL LIKELY TO PERSIST IN
THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. THIS ESTIMATE IS CORROBORATED IN THE
MEANTIME BY THE ASCAT-B PASS, WHICH FELL SHORTLY AFTER THE ANALYSIS
TIME.
NO CHANGE IN TRACK FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. ELEANOR HAS
ALREADY BEGUN TO TURN WESTWARDS, AND WILL CURVE FURTHER
WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS TOMORROW, DRIVEN BY THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND FLOW
ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE METEOR SHOULD
THEN PASS RAPIDLY TO THE SOUTH OF REUNION THIS WEEKEND, HEADING
TOWARDS THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR. THEREAFTER, IN LINE WITH ITS
RESIDUAL STRUCTURE, ELEANOR WILL MERGE INTO A LOW-LEVEL TROUGH OFF
THE MADAGASCAN COAST, DISAPPEARING CLOSE TO ITS BIRTH ZONE ALMOST 10
DAYS LATER.
THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE TOTALLY HOSTILE FOR ELEANOR: A
STRONG NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND, ABOVE ALL, INTRUSIONS OF DRY AIR THAT
HAVE REACHED THE HEART OF THE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTHWEST. IN THESE
CONDITIONS, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY BECOMES ALMOST NON-EXISTENT, LEADING
TO A FAIRLY RAPID WEAKENING OF ELEANOR. STRONG WINDS MAY PERSIST IN
THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT, SO A SLIGHT
INCREASE IN INTENSITY IS STILL POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 6 HOURS. FROM
SATURDAY ONWARDS, ELEANOR WILL EVOLVE INTO A FILLING LOW AND THEN
TRANSITING TOWARDS MADAGASCAR AS A REMNANT LOW. ELEANOR'S CIRCULATION
WILL EVENTUALLY MERGE INTO A LOW-LEVEL TROUGH BY MONDAY, WITH NO RISK
OF REINTENSIFICATION DUE TO A NOTABLE LACK OF MOISTURE SUPPLY.
THIS SYSTEM NO LONGER CAUSES SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ON INHABITED LANDS.
LAST WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM, UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION. FURTHER
INFORMATIONS WILL BE AVAILABLE WITH THE WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE
HIGHT SEAS FOR METAREA VII, ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICES
OF SOUTH-AFRICA (FQZA31 FAPR).=
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

MODERATE TROPICAL STORM ELEANOR Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

ELEANOR storm path from meteo france

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2024-02-23T18:00:00.000Z	35 knots	-23.9, 58.2
2024-02-24T06:00:00.000Z	30 knots	-23.7, 56.8	translation missing: en.FILLING UP
2024-02-24T18:00:00.000Z	30 knots	-23.0, 55.1	translation missing: en.FILLING UP
2024-02-25T06:00:00.000Z	25 knots	-22.2, 52.9	translation missing: en.REMNANT
2024-02-25T18:00:00.000Z	25 knots	-21.3, 50.6
2024-02-26T06:00:00.000Z	20 knots	-20.7, 49.4
2024-02-26T18:00:00.000Z	20 knots	-20.4, 48.6

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